0x07d2…1b32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x07d2dc0bef4fc2b066cf8536ee7d132808261b32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.4pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

15% @ 20.0¢

Brier

0.103

Resolved

533

Avg size

$123

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	22% (42/195)	+39%	195
Crypto	0% (0/30)	-100%	30
Sports	29% (2/7)	-77%	7
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other195 bets
Hit rate
22% (42/195)
ROI
+39%
Crypto30 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/30)
ROI
-100%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
-77%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 44/236

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
0x009f7b01…	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Solana" during the X space?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.4k	48.0¢	Lost
0x0387d90b…	No	$20	11.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	Yes	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$1	30.0¢	Lost
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?	Yes	$546	15.9¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$18	15.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	No	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?	No	$125	30.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Won
Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?	Yes	$500	51.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?	No	$12	9.8¢	Lost
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?	Yes	$145	53.8¢	Won
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$1	5.6¢	Lost
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$600	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?	No	$7	16.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	No	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Packers vs. Vikings	Packers	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?	Yes	$1	36.0¢	Lost
0x278e937e…	No	$2	8.2¢	Lost
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$1.5k	4.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?	No	$10	5.2¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "Cat" during the debate?	Yes	$1.8k	22.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	$997	24.8¢	Lost
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?	Yes	$1000	83.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
0x2e94a7f4…	No	$6	18.3¢	Lost
Raiders vs. Chargers	Raiders	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Steelers vs. Patriots	Steelers	$1	33.0¢	Lost
Will Tim Walz say "Yale" during the debate?	Yes	$200	26.5¢	Lost
Will there be another debate?	Yes	$1.2k	29.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	No	$2	2.7¢	Lost
Giants vs. Rams	Giants	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Broncos	Broncos	$1	33.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	$5	43.0¢	Won
Will the State of the Union be 80 minutes or longer?	No	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?	Yes	$16	2.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost

0x009f7b01…Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Solana" during the X space?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 48.0¢
0x0387d90b…Lost
No$20 @ 11.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Lost
Yes$3 @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$1 @ 30.0¢
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?Lost
Yes$546 @ 15.9¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 15.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?Won
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?Lost
No$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?Lost
No$125 @ 30.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Won
Yes$500 @ 51.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?Lost
No$12 @ 9.8¢
Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?Won
Yes$145 @ 53.8¢
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.6¢
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$600 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?Lost
No$7 @ 16.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
Patriots$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?Lost
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Packers vs. VikingsLost
Packers$2 @ 18.0¢
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?Lost
Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
0x278e937e…Lost
No$2 @ 8.2¢
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 4.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?Lost
No$10 @ 5.2¢
Will JD Vance say "Cat" during the debate?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 22.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
Yes$997 @ 24.8¢
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Won
Yes$1000 @ 83.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
0x2e94a7f4…Lost
No$6 @ 18.3¢
Raiders vs. ChargersWon
Raiders$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Steelers vs. PatriotsLost
Steelers$1 @ 33.0¢
Will Tim Walz say "Yale" during the debate?Lost
Yes$200 @ 26.5¢
Will there be another debate?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 29.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?Lost
No$2 @ 2.7¢
Giants vs. RamsLost
Giants$1 @ 27.0¢
Patriots vs. BroncosLost
Broncos$1 @ 33.0¢
Patriots vs. BroncosWon
Patriots$5 @ 43.0¢
Will the State of the Union be 80 minutes or longer?Lost
No$1 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$134	25.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$51	9.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$15	28.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$5	1.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Politics	Yes	$1	0.2¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$134 @ 25.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$51 @ 9.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$15 @ 28.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢