0x0704…1858

Specialization by sphere

• Other41 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (24/41)

  ROI

  +20%

• Politics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +22%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +117%

• Circle IPO in 2025?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 34.6¢
• Yoon arrested by Friday?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Won
  No$16 @ 15.5¢
• Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Lost
  Yes$817 @ 27.3¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$75.7k @ 86.1¢
• Yoon arrested by January 31?Won
  Yes$114 @ 37.9¢
• Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Lost
  No$49 @ 36.6¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Won
  No$161.1k @ 80.0¢
• Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more?Won
  Yes$114 @ 57.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Won
  No$93 @ 62.0¢
• US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Won
  No$0 @ 87.0¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Lost
  No$233 @ 3.7¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 88.1¢
• Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
  No$10.8k @ 29.8¢
• Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Won
  Yes$455 @ 65.0¢
• Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 51.8¢
• Ethereum all time high in 2024?Won
  No$108.6k @ 83.2¢
• Kraken IPO in 2025?Won
  No$2.4k @ 46.0¢
• Will Coinbase acquire Deribit?Lost
  No$2 @ 23.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$248.0k @ 80.1¢
• Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 16.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?Won
  No$2.6k @ 87.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$90.3k @ 86.9¢
• U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
• Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Won
  No$132.6k @ 79.5¢
• Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?Won
  No$11.3k @ 54.8¢
• Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?Won
  No$532 @ 53.2¢
• Will Trudeau resign by Friday?Won
  Yes$91 @ 83.1¢
• Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?Lost
  Yes$206 @ 17.1¢
• Will Trump say "Biden" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?Lost
  No$5 @ 21.0¢
• Palisades fire burns 40,000 or more acres by Friday?Won
  No$9 @ 43.0¢
• Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?Won
  Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
• Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Lost
  No$11 @ 38.0¢
• Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?Lost
  No$49 @ 27.0¢
• US bank failure before March?Lost
  No$689 @ 62.7¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$16.6k @ 78.3¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Lost
  No$570 @ 40.3¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$187.4k @ 75.9¢
• Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?Won
  No$655 @ 79.2¢
• Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
• US national Solana reserve in 2025?Won
  No$109 @ 86.0¢
• US recession in 2025?Won
  No$561 @ 81.0¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$237.0k @ 87.5¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$151.3k @ 84.8¢

Current positions

• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$250.1k @ 50.0¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$250.1k @ 50.0¢