0x06df…4e7a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x06dfe38e938348d777f35f2b23d37d584e324e7a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.7pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

28% @ 22.0¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

303

Avg size

$202

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (35/136)	+21%	136
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other136 bets
Hit rate
26% (35/136)
ROI
+21%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

25% hit · 35/140

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	Yes	$698	87.5¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$36	0.9¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$594	11.0¢	Lost
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	Yes	$739	71.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$416	19.7¢	Lost
Will Ukraine agree to Trump nuclear plant deal before July?	Yes	$94	23.5¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$512	50.2¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$495	49.5¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$2.5k	41.2¢	Won
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?	Yes	$102	40.7¢	Lost
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	Yes	$177	10.6¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$101	59.0¢	Won
Will France win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$120	15.6¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$510	59.7¢	Won
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?	Yes	$116	9.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?	No	$97	34.7¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	No	$270	45.0¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	Yes	$318	53.0¢	Won
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?	Yes	$94	4.7¢	Lost
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$60	4.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?	Yes	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Russia" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	$183	60.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?	Yes	$650	13.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	No	$1.2k	60.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?	Yes	$513	6.8¢	Lost
Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?	Yes	$113	9.1¢	Lost
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?	Yes	$56	0.9¢	Lost
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?	Yes	$270	30.0¢	Lost
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?	Yes	$60	29.3¢	Lost
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?	No	$358	71.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?	Yes	$25	2.7¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?	No	$50	15.6¢	Lost
Will Trump win 5 swing states?	Yes	$160	16.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$225	45.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$536	44.7¢	Lost
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$1.4k	50.5¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	No	$1.8k	0.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	Yes	$314	6.8¢	Lost
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	Yes	$112	3.7¢	Lost
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$137	13.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?	No	$112	56.0¢	Won
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?	No	$501	19.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?	No	$109	36.5¢	Lost
Measles declared public health emergency before April?	Yes	$21	3.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?	Yes	$80	1.6¢	Lost
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?	Yes	$125	5.2¢	Lost
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?	Yes	$2.9k	13.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Epstein" on The Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	$121	40.4¢	Lost

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Won
Yes$698 @ 87.5¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$36 @ 0.9¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Lost
Yes$594 @ 11.0¢
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Won
Yes$739 @ 71.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$416 @ 19.7¢
Will Ukraine agree to Trump nuclear plant deal before July?Lost
Yes$94 @ 23.5¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$512 @ 50.2¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$495 @ 49.5¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 41.2¢
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?Lost
Yes$102 @ 40.7¢
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?Lost
Yes$177 @ 10.6¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$101 @ 59.0¢
Will France win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$120 @ 15.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$510 @ 59.7¢
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Lost
Yes$116 @ 9.2¢
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Lost
No$97 @ 34.7¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Lost
No$270 @ 45.0¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Won
Yes$318 @ 53.0¢
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Lost
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?Lost
Yes$94 @ 4.7¢
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?Lost
Yes$60 @ 4.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Lost
Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump say "Russia" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?Won
Yes$183 @ 60.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Lost
Yes$650 @ 13.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?Won
No$1.2k @ 60.0¢
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?Lost
Yes$513 @ 6.8¢
Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?Lost
Yes$113 @ 9.1¢
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Lost
Yes$56 @ 0.9¢
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Lost
Yes$270 @ 30.0¢
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?Lost
Yes$60 @ 29.3¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Won
No$358 @ 71.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.7¢
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Lost
No$50 @ 15.6¢
Will Trump win 5 swing states?Lost
Yes$160 @ 16.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Won
No$225 @ 45.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$536 @ 44.7¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 50.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Lost
No$1.8k @ 0.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Lost
Yes$314 @ 6.8¢
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Lost
Yes$112 @ 3.7¢
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?Lost
Yes$137 @ 13.7¢
Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Won
No$112 @ 56.0¢
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Won
No$501 @ 19.9¢
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Lost
No$109 @ 36.5¢
Measles declared public health emergency before April?Lost
Yes$21 @ 3.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?Lost
Yes$80 @ 1.6¢
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?Lost
Yes$125 @ 5.2¢
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Lost
Yes$2.9k @ 13.6¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Lost
Yes$121 @ 40.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$786	31.8¢

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$786 @ 31.8¢