0x06ab…ee5c

Specialization by sphere

• Other31 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (14/31)

  ROI

  -6%

• Politics27 bets

  Hit rate

  70% (19/27)

  ROI

  +19%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  +23%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -58%

• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 11.8¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$189 @ 76.2¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$716 @ 86.2¢
• Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 11.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.4k @ 72.3¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$3.5k @ 86.5¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Won
  Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)Lost
  Josh Emmett$15 @ 20.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 63.1¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Lost
  No$136 @ 16.9¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 82.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$672 @ 84.0¢
• Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  No$326 @ 65.7¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 32.7¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Lost
  No$15 @ 48.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 56.5¢
• Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
  No$531 @ 88.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
  Yes$228 @ 27.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$51 @ 14.0¢
• Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$4.9k @ 81.5¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
  No$473 @ 62.8¢
• Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 6.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$4.5k @ 23.5¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$7.6k @ 61.3¢
• Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Won
  No$145 @ 88.0¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?Won
  Yes$140 @ 40.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$608 @ 60.8¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Won
  No$823 @ 88.5¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
  No$278 @ 79.3¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$464 @ 56.6¢
• UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
  Strickland$15 @ 29.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
• Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 73.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 79.9¢
• Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.3¢
• UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
  Jirí Procházka$20 @ 51.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Won
  No$161 @ 66.3¢
• Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$578 @ 84.0¢
• Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 0.9¢
• UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)Lost
  Mullarkey$5 @ 14.0¢
• Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$115 @ 10.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Won
  No$313 @ 84.5¢
• Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?Won
  No$582 @ 87.4¢
• UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
  Fiziev$20 @ 49.0¢
• Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Won
  Yes$15 @ 4.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 78.9¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$17 @ 84.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?Won
  Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$942 @ 51.9¢

Current positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 70.0¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 90.0¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$2.7k @ 89.0¢
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 87.9¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 83.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 63.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$1.5k @ 63.0¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 68.6¢
• US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics
  No$642 @ 95.2¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$555 @ 74.1¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$408 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$403 @ 80.6¢
• Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech
  No$364 @ 43.3¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$96 @ 95.8¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$96 @ 95.7¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$89 @ 89.4¢
• AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
  No$89 @ 88.6¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
• Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics
  No$64 @ 90.4¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
  No$19 @ 94.6¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$17 @ 84.1¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$17 @ 83.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$16 @ 82.1¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$16 @ 81.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$16 @ 80.0¢
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$16 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$9 @ 92.0¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics
  No$8 @ 80.0¢
• Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$5 @ 43.0¢