← Smart money
0x06a2…0acb
ProfitableEdge
+18.4pp
ROI
+141%
Win rate
30% @ 11.3¢
Brier
0.233
Resolved
4532
Avg size
$11
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 32% (177/556) | +157% | 556 |
| Sports | 20% (4/20) | -66% | 20 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | +79% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other556 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (177/556)
- ROI
- +157%
- Sports20 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (4/20)
- ROI
- -66%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +79%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 184/585- Eagles vs. BearsLostEagles$192 @ 64.0¢
- Florida International$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 6.6¢
- OSU$10 @ 38.0¢
- Over$44 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
- Over$50 @ 50.0¢
- Seahawks$315 @ 63.0¢
- 49ers$56 @ 56.0¢
- Dolphins$40 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 43.3¢
- No$66 @ 18.0¢
- Warriors$23 @ 23.0¢
- No$19 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$148 @ 2.1¢
- Texans$236 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
- Cardinals$37 @ 37.0¢
- Arizona State$137 @ 45.7¢
- Over$456 @ 43.8¢
- South Carolina$50 @ 25.0¢
- Buccaneers$60 @ 60.0¢
- Giants$58 @ 29.0¢
- Vikings$20 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 85.4¢
- Lions$1 @ 56.0¢
- Utah State$87 @ 87.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$102 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
- Eagles$732 @ 56.3¢
- Yes$558 @ 69.7¢
- Giants$30 @ 30.0¢
- No$291 @ 69.0¢
- Raiders$12 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 8.7¢
- Yes$194 @ 0.8¢
- South Carolina$18 @ 18.0¢
- Seahawks$245 @ 49.0¢
- No$20 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
- Seahawks$126 @ 62.0¢
- Bengals$95 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.0¢
- No$520 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$382 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$309 @ 26.5¢
- No$240 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$179 @ 30.8¢
- No$150 @ 13.0¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$100 @ 25.0¢
- No$83 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
- Databricks IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$52 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢