0x06a2…8015

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x06a22231b2d42f8704e85ef44c2dda278d9f8015
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

75% @ 72.3¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

1534

Avg size

$304

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	81% (306/380)	+4%	380
Sports	84% (74/88)	+2%	88
Politics	84% (16/19)	+7%	19
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+14%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Other380 bets
Hit rate
81% (306/380)
ROI
+4%
Sports88 bets
Hit rate
84% (74/88)
ROI
+2%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
84% (16/19)
ROI
+7%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

Track record

81% hit · 399/490

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$15.0k	95.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	$1	94.0¢	Won
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?	Yes	$4.5k	80.0¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$664	77.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	$503	89.7¢	Won
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?	No	$498	83.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	$1	84.0¢	Lost
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$500	89.0¢	Won
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$4.3k	86.5¢	Won
Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	$1000	85.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$500	88.6¢	Won
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska	Iga Swiatek	$202	83.0¢	Lost
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs	LOS	$1	80.0¢	Won
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka	England	$512	89.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$201	89.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Knicks	Hornets	$1	89.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	$605	85.0¢	Won
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?	No	$1.2k	89.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	$101	89.7¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Lost
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$202	84.0¢	Won
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-14?	No	$250	84.0¢	Won
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?	No	$1.3k	86.7¢	Lost
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$1000	62.0¢	Won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?	Yes	$3.8k	75.6¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$200	89.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$300	87.7¢	Won
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?	No	$1.5k	87.0¢	Won
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?	No	$2.0k	87.0¢	Won
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	No	$501	90.0¢	Won
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	$301	85.7¢	Won
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$1	60.0¢	Lost
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?	No	$502	84.0¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?	Yes	$1.6k	82.1¢	Won
Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$302	85.0¢	Won
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1	70.7¢	Won
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	Yes	$388	4.5¢	Lost
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$266	88.6¢	Won
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkina	Swiatek	$500	87.0¢	Won
Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	$502	89.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	$400	87.8¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$404	43.6¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$1.0k	83.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$1000	85.9¢	Won
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.1k	83.1¢	Won
Pistons vs. Timberwolves	Pistons	$2.4k	82.8¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$110	10.0¢	Lost
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy Paul	Paul	$479	88.8¢	Won

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$15.0k @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 80.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?Lost
Yes$664 @ 77.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Won
No$503 @ 89.7¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?Won
No$498 @ 83.0¢
76ers vs. HornetsLost
Hornets$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?Won
Yes$500 @ 89.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$4.3k @ 86.5¢
Celtics vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$1000 @ 85.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$500 @ 88.6¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaLost
Iga Swiatek$202 @ 83.0¢
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsWon
LOS$1 @ 80.0¢
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri LankaWon
England$512 @ 89.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$201 @ 89.0¢
Hornets vs. KnicksWon
Hornets$1 @ 89.0¢
Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Won
Under$605 @ 85.0¢
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?Lost
No$1.2k @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Won
No$101 @ 89.7¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-11?Won
Yes$202 @ 84.0¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-14?Won
No$250 @ 84.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?Lost
No$1.3k @ 86.7¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?Won
Yes$1000 @ 62.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 75.6¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$200 @ 89.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$300 @ 87.7¢
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?Won
No$1.5k @ 87.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?Won
No$2.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?Won
No$501 @ 90.0¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?Won
Yes$301 @ 85.7¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$1 @ 60.0¢
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$502 @ 84.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 82.1¢
Clippers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$302 @ 85.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$1 @ 70.7¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$388 @ 4.5¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
No$266 @ 88.6¢
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria KasatkinaWon
Swiatek$500 @ 87.0¢
Bears vs. FalconsWon
Bears$502 @ 89.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Won
No$400 @ 87.8¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$404 @ 43.6¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
No$1.0k @ 83.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$1000 @ 85.9¢
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 83.1¢
Pistons vs. TimberwolvesWon
Pistons$2.4k @ 82.8¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Lithuania win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$110 @ 10.0¢
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy PaulWon
Paul$479 @ 88.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spurs vs. Kings	Sports	Spurs	$300	91.0¢
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Culture	No	$1	95.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	89.0¢

Spurs vs. KingsSports
Spurs$300 @ 91.0¢
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Culture
No$1 @ 95.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 89.0¢