0x0665…4c8f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0665299f623cd9b14512b311d8e1356438054c8f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

45% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

306

Avg size

$26

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (64/150)	+15%	150
Politics	70% (7/10)	+27%	10
Tech	33% (1/3)	-59%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other150 bets
Hit rate
43% (64/150)
ROI
+15%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+27%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-59%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 72/165

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	Yes	$22	15.6¢	Won
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?	Yes	$22	43.2¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$50	90.0¢	Won
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?	No	$20	16.0¢	Lost
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?	Yes	$51	17.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Lost
OpenAI browser by September 30?	No	$50	82.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?	Yes	$10	4.0¢	Lost
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?	No	$181	72.8¢	Won
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Won
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	Yes	$39	68.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?	No	$20	67.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?	No	$12	9.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$9	14.7¢	Lost
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Grokipedia released by October 31?	No	$11	2.0¢	Lost
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?	Yes	$47	5.8¢	Lost
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?	No	$25	35.0¢	Lost
TikTok sale announced before April?	Yes	$205	50.6¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Won
Will Ryanair say "Record" during earnings call?	No	$13	50.4¢	Won
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	No	$50	84.9¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	$2	5.4¢	Won
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	$41	41.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?	Yes	$20	83.3¢	Won
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 3 or more times during victory rally?	Yes	$21	44.2¢	Won
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?	Yes	$57	43.7¢	Won
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	$30	39.9¢	Lost
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings	Karachi Kings	$10	47.5¢	Won
Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more?	Yes	$30	43.2¢	Won
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	No	$40	50.0¢	Won
Will Oracle buy TikTok?	No	$36	45.0¢	Won
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	16.0¢	Won
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$20	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "MAGA" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?	Yes	$20	70.2¢	Won
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?	Yes	$30	6.0¢	Lost
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	$2	2.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Greenland" during victory rally?	Yes	$20	63.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	$11	81.0¢	Won
Grokipedia released by November 15?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	Yes	$110	53.5¢	Lost
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?	No	$11	54.0¢	Won
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?	Yes	$40	18.0¢	Lost

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Won
Yes$22 @ 15.6¢
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Lost
Yes$22 @ 43.2¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 90.0¢
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Lost
No$20 @ 16.0¢
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Won
Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
OpenAI browser by September 30?Won
No$50 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?Won
No$181 @ 72.8¢
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Won
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?Won
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?Won
Yes$39 @ 68.8¢
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Won
No$20 @ 67.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?Lost
No$12 @ 9.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 14.7¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$1 @ 19.0¢
Grokipedia released by October 31?Lost
No$11 @ 2.0¢
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?Lost
Yes$47 @ 5.8¢
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?Lost
No$25 @ 35.0¢
TikTok sale announced before April?Lost
Yes$205 @ 50.6¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 37.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
Will Ryanair say "Record" during earnings call?Won
No$13 @ 50.4¢
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Lost
No$50 @ 84.9¢
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Won
Yes$2 @ 5.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?Lost
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Won
Yes$20 @ 83.3¢
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 3 or more times during victory rally? Won
Yes$21 @ 44.2¢
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?Won
Yes$57 @ 43.7¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Lost
Yes$30 @ 39.9¢
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi KingsWon
Karachi Kings$10 @ 47.5¢
Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more?Won
Yes$30 @ 43.2¢
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Won
No$40 @ 50.0¢
Will Oracle buy TikTok?Won
No$36 @ 45.0¢
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Won
Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?Won
Yes$20 @ 70.2¢
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Lost
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
Will Trump say "Greenland" during victory rally? Lost
Yes$20 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super KingsWon
Chennai Super Kings$11 @ 81.0¢
Grokipedia released by November 15?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Lost
Yes$110 @ 53.5¢
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?Won
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 18.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Business	No	$609	87.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Politics	No	$209	84.8¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Politics	No	$170	77.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$100	80.0¢
Will no new permanent NVIDIA CEO be named by December 31, 2028?	Tech	Yes	$37	5.2¢
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$15	30.0¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$15	10.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$10	5.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	—	Yes	$9	14.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	4.0¢
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?	—	Yes	$3	2.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?	—	Yes	$2	33.0¢

Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?Business
No$609 @ 87.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
No$209 @ 84.8¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
No$170 @ 77.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Will no new permanent NVIDIA CEO be named by December 31, 2028?Tech
Yes$37 @ 5.2¢
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Other
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?—
Yes$9 @ 14.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?—
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?—
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢