← Smart money
0x0612…559a
ProfitableEdge
+11.7pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
62% @ 50.1¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
196
Avg size
$71
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 59% (191/325) | +8% | 325 |
| Sports | 72% (13/18) | +36% | 18 |
| Politics | 64% (7/11) | +4% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other325 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (191/325)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports18 bets
- Hit rate
- 72% (13/18)
- ROI
- +36%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (7/11)
- ROI
- +4%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
59% hit · 211/355- Colorado Rockies$43 @ 43.0¢
- PARIVISION$148 @ 55.0¢
- Houston Astros$28 @ 50.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$51 @ 51.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$149 @ 48.0¢
- Andre Ilagan$35 @ 19.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$118 @ 38.0¢
- Marcus McGhee$124 @ 77.0¢
- Philip Henning$119 @ 75.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$158 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 33.0¢
- Winthrop University$151 @ 32.0¢
- Team Liquid$37 @ 50.0¢
- Nikola Bartunkova$58 @ 52.0¢
- Houston Astros$26 @ 51.0¢
- Philip Henning$204 @ 78.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$80 @ 52.0¢
- San Francisco Giants$161 @ 52.0¢
- GamerLegion$102 @ 46.0¢
- Avalanche$155 @ 51.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$180 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$98 @ 37.0¢
- Elina Avanesyan$82 @ 53.0¢
- Athletics$45 @ 51.0¢
- Oleksandra Oliynykova$90 @ 27.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$106 @ 42.0¢
- Cloud9$72 @ 39.0¢
- Detroit Tigers$73 @ 54.0¢
- Under$103 @ 51.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$80 @ 50.0¢
- San Diego Padres$73 @ 49.0¢
- Nick Hardt$79 @ 59.0¢
- Braden Shick$141 @ 77.0¢
- San Diego Padres$170 @ 61.0¢
- Roman Safiullin$204 @ 78.0¢
- B8$112 @ 53.0¢
- Johannus Monday$116 @ 25.0¢
- Under 2.5$136 @ 68.0¢
- Juan Estevez$102 @ 83.0¢
- Texas Rangers$161 @ 52.0¢
- Lois Boisson$61 @ 32.0¢
- Chicago Cubs$49 @ 55.0¢
- San Francisco Giants$123 @ 46.0¢
- G2 Esports$152 @ 73.0¢
- Alicia Dudeney$76 @ 39.0¢
- Houston Astros$80 @ 45.0¢
- Polina Kudermetova$129 @ 40.0¢
- Under$168 @ 51.0¢
- Cloud9$187 @ 77.0¢
- Athletics$141 @ 39.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Politics | Yes | $237 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Politics | No | $232 | 78.0¢ |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers | — | Baltimore Orioles | $225 | 48.0¢ |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | — | Chicago Cubs | $216 | 53.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $210 | 73.0¢ |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | — | Miami Marlins | $174 | 37.0¢ |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | — | No | $164 | 62.0¢ |
| Nothing Ever Happens: July | — | Nothing | $96 | 78.0¢ |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June? | — | Yes | $74 | 76.0¢ |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? | — | Yes | $38 | 72.0¢ |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? | — | Yes | $29 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | — | Yes | $28 | 67.0¢ |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | Geopolitics | No | $4 | 79.0¢ |
- Yes$237 @ 80.0¢
- No$232 @ 78.0¢
- Baltimore Orioles$225 @ 48.0¢
- Chicago Cubs$216 @ 53.0¢
- No$210 @ 73.0¢
- Miami Marlins$174 @ 37.0¢
- No$164 @ 62.0¢
- Nothing$96 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 67.0¢
- No$4 @ 79.0¢