0x0537…5b0f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x05374492e37f036fb751d708fe487aeca60b5b0f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

30% @ 21.7¢

Brier

0.146

Resolved

3659

Avg size

$91

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (44/116)	-25%	116
Politics	29% (7/24)	+28%	24
Sports	50% (1/2)	+61%	2

Other116 bets
Hit rate
38% (44/116)
ROI
-25%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
29% (7/24)
ROI
+28%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+61%

Track record

37% hit · 52/142

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	$114	6.9¢	Lost
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	$27	1.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$951	8.2¢	Lost
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	No	$5	1.8¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$360	72.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$4.9k	43.5¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$501	34.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$325	65.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$284	48.9¢	Won
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$30	3.0¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$3.5k	23.2¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	$124	10.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	No	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	$60	38.0¢	Won
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$22	1.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	$73	29.0¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Wizards	Clippers	$28	55.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.2k	79.3¢	Won
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$628	49.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$2.2k	5.6¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?	Yes	$294	3.1¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$827	82.7¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	$3.3k	37.7¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?	Yes	$32	53.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Panthers	Rams	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	No	$820	46.9¢	Won
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$1.5k	0.6¢	Lost
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?	No	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	No	$51.2k	12.2¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$920	3.7¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?	No	$115	88.3¢	Won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	No	$235	87.0¢	Won
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	$564	5.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$145	0.6¢	Lost
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$34	55.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$111	74.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$1.3k	77.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)	Nets	$158	45.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	$77	23.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	$219	73.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$1.2k	46.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	$292	29.7¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$4.6k	25.7¢	Lost
Bills vs. Jaguars	Bills	$111	55.5¢	Won
Bills vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$180	58.1¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$6.2k	30.0¢	Lost

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$114 @ 6.9¢
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Lost
No$27 @ 1.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$951 @ 8.2¢
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Lost
No$5 @ 1.8¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$360 @ 72.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$4.9k @ 43.5¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$501 @ 34.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$325 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$284 @ 48.9¢
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 23.2¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWon
Yes$124 @ 10.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Lost
No$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Won
Yes$60 @ 38.0¢
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Lost
Yes$22 @ 1.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Lost
Yes$73 @ 29.0¢
Clippers vs. WizardsWon
Clippers$28 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 79.3¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
No$628 @ 49.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2.2k @ 5.6¢
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Lost
Yes$294 @ 3.1¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
No$827 @ 82.7¢
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$3.3k @ 37.7¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?Lost
Yes$32 @ 53.0¢
Rams vs. PanthersWon
Rams$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Won
No$820 @ 46.9¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 0.6¢
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?Lost
No$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Lost
No$51.2k @ 12.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$920 @ 3.7¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Won
No$115 @ 88.3¢
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?Won
No$235 @ 87.0¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Lost
No$564 @ 5.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$145 @ 0.6¢
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$34 @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Won
No$111 @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Won
No$1.3k @ 77.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Lost
Nets$158 @ 45.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Lost
No$77 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Won
Yes$219 @ 73.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Won
No$1.2k @ 46.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Lost
Yes$292 @ 29.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$4.6k @ 25.7¢
Bills vs. JaguarsWon
Bills$111 @ 55.5¢
Bills vs. JaguarsLost
Jaguars$180 @ 58.1¢
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$6.2k @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$776	10.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Other	Yes	$105	43.0¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$776 @ 10.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Other
Yes$105 @ 43.0¢