0x04b3…ad8d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x04b30d518963c510ade2f2bd502c7438ea33ad8d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.6pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

51% @ 45.1¢

Brier

0.221

Resolved

908

Avg size

$34

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (329/656)	+8%	656
Sports	41% (13/32)	-12%	32

Other656 bets
Hit rate
50% (329/656)
ROI
+8%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
41% (13/32)
ROI
-12%

Track record

50% hit · 342/688

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	$15	21.0¢	Lost
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys	Alexander Bublik	$10	30.0¢	Lost
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$42	27.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	$50	44.0¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$38	19.0¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	$134	75.0¢	Won
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alexander Zverev	$102	75.0¢	Won
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	$40	66.0¢	Won
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	41.0¢	Won
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	Over	$16	41.0¢	Won
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$15	51.0¢	Won
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	$28	28.0¢	Lost
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	48.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?	Yes	$24	48.0¢	Lost
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-07?	No	$20	58.0¢	Won
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Over	$54	54.0¢	Won
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	37.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5	Over	$15	50.0¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	$26	15.7¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5	Under	$15	49.0¢	Won
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)	Japan	$8	11.6¢	Lost
FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	50.0¢	Won
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	49.0¢	Lost
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	$50	53.0¢	Won
US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	33.0¢	Lost
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	55.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5	Under	$50	49.0¢	Lost
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	$26	26.0¢	Lost
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	39.0¢	Lost
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5	Over	$14	48.0¢	Lost
Wizards vs. 76ers	Wizards	$7	14.5¢	Lost
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?	Yes	$16	32.0¢	Lost
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	44.0¢	Won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$200	59.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	56.0¢	Lost
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	$25	51.0¢	Lost
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5	Over	$27	57.0¢	Lost
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	51.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5	Under	$10	49.0¢	Won
Wizards vs. Knicks	Wizards	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	45.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$25	52.0¢	Won
FC St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5	Over	$15	46.7¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	Zverev	$28	26.9¢	Lost

Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-30?Lost
Yes$15 @ 21.0¢
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysLost
Alexander Bublik$10 @ 30.0¢
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$42 @ 27.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukLost
Elina Svitolina$50 @ 44.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC$38 @ 19.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC$11 @ 7.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Lost
Manchester City FC$39 @ 39.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?Won
Yes$134 @ 75.0¢
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon GriekspoorWon
Alexander Zverev$102 @ 75.0¢
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsWon
Arthur Fils$40 @ 66.0¢
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 41.0¢
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Won
Over$16 @ 41.0¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$15 @ 51.0¢
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$28 @ 28.0¢
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Won
Over$15 @ 48.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?Lost
Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$12 @ 12.0¢
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-07?Won
No$20 @ 58.0¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Won
Over$54 @ 54.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 37.0¢
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Lost
Over$15 @ 50.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Won
Yes$26 @ 15.7¢
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Won
Under$15 @ 49.0¢
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)Lost
Japan$8 @ 11.6¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5Won
Over$15 @ 50.0¢
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$25 @ 49.0¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Won
Over$50 @ 53.0¢
US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 33.0¢
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$30 @ 55.0¢
Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Lost
Under$50 @ 49.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$26 @ 26.0¢
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$30 @ 39.0¢
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$14 @ 48.0¢
Wizards vs. 76ersLost
Wizards$7 @ 14.5¢
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?Lost
Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$25 @ 44.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$200 @ 59.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$30 @ 56.0¢
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$25 @ 51.0¢
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$27 @ 57.0¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 51.0¢
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Won
Under$10 @ 49.0¢
Wizards vs. KnicksLost
Wizards$8 @ 15.0¢
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 45.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Won
Yes$25 @ 52.0¢
FC St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$20 @ 41.0¢
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$15 @ 46.7¢
Timberwolves vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$8 @ 15.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevLost
Zverev$28 @ 26.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$293	71.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$200	61.0¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$193	68.0¢
1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$135	60.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$128	54.0¢
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$126	63.0¢
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$124	64.0¢
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	—	Yes	$114	29.0¢
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$102	51.0¢
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$100	43.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	—	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$100	58.0¢
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?	—	Yes	$100	54.0¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$88	75.0¢
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$80	44.0¢
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$76	38.0¢
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$75	47.0¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$62	38.0¢
1. FC Köln vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$61	51.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$60	50.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$56	56.0¢
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$55	57.6¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar	Sports	Rafael Jodar	$55	81.0¢
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5	—	Under	$50	50.0¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	50.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	40.0¢
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5	—	Over	$50	50.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	49.2¢
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$50	53.2¢
FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	60.0¢
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	57.0¢

Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5—
Over$293 @ 71.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 2.5—
Over$200 @ 61.0¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$193 @ 68.0¢
1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$135 @ 60.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5—
Under$128 @ 54.0¢
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5—
Over$126 @ 63.0¢
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5—
Over$124 @ 64.0¢
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?—
Yes$114 @ 29.0¢
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5—
Under$102 @ 51.0¢
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5—
Over$100 @ 43.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)—
Paris Saint-Germain FC$100 @ 58.0¢
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?—
Yes$100 @ 54.0¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5—
Over$88 @ 75.0¢
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5—
Over$80 @ 44.0¢
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5—
Over$76 @ 38.0¢
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5—
Over$75 @ 47.0¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5—
Over$62 @ 38.0¢
1. FC Köln vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5—
Over$61 @ 51.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5—
Over$60 @ 50.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$56 @ 56.0¢
Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5—
Over$55 @ 57.6¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael JodarSports
Rafael Jodar$55 @ 81.0¢
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5—
Under$50 @ 50.0¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 40.0¢
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5—
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 49.2¢
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5—
Under$50 @ 53.2¢
FC Metz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 60.0¢
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 57.0¢