0x04a1…d6e6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x04a1763cd9af090f6012009f683341229366d6e6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

46% @ 41.6¢

Brier

0.223

Resolved

1102

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (287/598)	+10%	598
Sports	61% (22/36)	-3%	36
Politics	50% (1/2)	+26%	2

Other598 bets
Hit rate
48% (287/598)
ROI
+10%
Sports36 bets
Hit rate
61% (22/36)
ROI
-3%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+26%

Track record

49% hit · 310/636

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Heat vs. 76ers	Heat	$19	46.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)	Team Heretics Academy	$1	55.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs Omega Esports (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs	Team Falcons PH	$11	74.0¢	Won
Rocket League: Five Fears vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	$6	75.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$17	50.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: TEX (-2.5) vs G2 Minnesota (+2.5)	G2 Minnesota	$90	60.0¢	Lost
Bengals vs. Vikings	Bengals	$44	37.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$98	89.0¢	Won
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs	The Bandits	$43	64.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: RIYF (-2.5) vs Miami Heretics (+2.5)	Miami Heretics	$1	73.0¢	Won
Will Riyadh Falcons win DreamHack Major 2?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	Heroic	$72	60.0¢	Lost
Vikings vs. Browns: O/U 42.5	Over	$16	20.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: PAR (-1.5) vs Toronto KOI (+1.5)	Toronto KOI	$3	40.0¢	Lost
Will Tennessee advance to the Sweet Sixteen?	Yes	$9	30.0¢	Won
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner	Yankees	$21	49.0¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Jets	Jets	$17	43.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Oilers	Oilers	$20	36.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Ivory vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	$17	71.0¢	Won
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)	Panthers	$29	45.0¢	Lost
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5	Over	$52	40.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Kalm vs VP.P	VP.P	$10	25.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$66	55.0¢	Won
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Boston Breach - Game 1 Winner	Boston Breach	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	$13	47.0¢	Lost
1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)	Hornets	$51	47.0¢	Won
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 142.5	Over	$19	36.0¢	Won
Ducks vs. Canucks	Canucks	$21	63.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$41	82.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs ONIC PH - Game 1 Winner	ONIC PH	$11	36.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs S2G Esports (+1.5)	S2G Esports	$22	25.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: TOR (-1.5) vs Vancouver Surge (+1.5)	Toronto KOI	$2	44.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$8	81.0¢	Lost
Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Devils	$34	28.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5	Over	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5	Under	$42	38.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Deficit" during National Agriculture Day events?	No	$10	49.0¢	Won
Northeastern Huskies vs. Holy Cross Crusaders	Northeastern Huskies	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$50	42.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: RIYF (-2.5) vs Cloud9 New York (+2.5)	Cloud9 New York	$9	67.0¢	Won
Wolf Pack vs. Bulldogs: O/U 55.5	Under	$14	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Alabama (-50.5)	Alabama	$41	37.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	$24	42.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	$1	51.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: LAT (-1.5) vs Miami Heretics (+1.5)	Los Angeles Thieves	$58	42.0¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner	FaZe Vegas	$92	37.0¢	Lost
Rocket League: Team Falcons vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group B	Team Falcons	$15	60.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 1 Winner	Toronto KOI	$2	70.0¢	Won

Heat vs. 76ersWon
Heat$19 @ 46.0¢
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)Won
Team Heretics Academy$1 @ 55.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs Omega Esports (BO5) - MPL Philippines PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons PH$11 @ 74.0¢
Rocket League: Five Fears vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerWon
Ninjas in Pyjamas$6 @ 75.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$17 @ 50.0¢
Game Handicap: TEX (-2.5) vs G2 Minnesota (+2.5)Lost
G2 Minnesota$90 @ 60.0¢
Bengals vs. VikingsLost
Bengals$44 @ 37.0¢
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$98 @ 89.0¢
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO5) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsWon
The Bandits$43 @ 64.0¢
Game Handicap: RIYF (-2.5) vs Miami Heretics (+2.5)Won
Miami Heretics$1 @ 73.0¢
Will Riyadh Falcons win DreamHack Major 2? Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Lost
Heroic$72 @ 60.0¢
Vikings vs. Browns: O/U 42.5Lost
Over$16 @ 20.0¢
Game Handicap: PAR (-1.5) vs Toronto KOI (+1.5)Lost
Toronto KOI$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Tennessee advance to the Sweet Sixteen?Won
Yes$9 @ 30.0¢
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series WinnerLost
Yankees$21 @ 49.0¢
Hurricanes vs. JetsWon
Jets$17 @ 43.0¢
Kings vs. OilersLost
Oilers$20 @ 36.0¢
Dota 2: Ivory vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Nemiga Gaming$17 @ 71.0¢
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Lost
Panthers$29 @ 45.0¢
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5Won
Over$52 @ 40.0¢
Dota 2: Kalm vs VP.PLost
VP.P$10 @ 25.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$66 @ 55.0¢
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Boston Breach - Game 1 WinnerLost
Boston Breach$10 @ 20.0¢
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?Lost
Yes$13 @ 47.0¢
1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Won
Hornets$51 @ 47.0¢
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 142.5Won
Over$19 @ 36.0¢
Ducks vs. CanucksWon
Canucks$21 @ 63.0¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs ONIC PH - Game 1 WinnerWon
ONIC PH$11 @ 36.0¢
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs S2G Esports (+1.5)Lost
S2G Esports$22 @ 25.0¢
Game Handicap: TOR (-1.5) vs Vancouver Surge (+1.5)Won
Toronto KOI$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$8 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Devils (-1.5)Lost
Devils$34 @ 28.0¢
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Lost
Over$4 @ 38.0¢
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Won
Under$42 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump say "Deficit" during National Agriculture Day events?Won
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Northeastern Huskies vs. Holy Cross CrusadersLost
Northeastern Huskies$1 @ 51.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$50 @ 42.0¢
Game Handicap: RIYF (-2.5) vs Cloud9 New York (+2.5)Won
Cloud9 New York$9 @ 67.0¢
Wolf Pack vs. Bulldogs: O/U 55.5Won
Under$14 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Alabama (-50.5)Won
Alabama$41 @ 37.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Won
Over$24 @ 42.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1 @ 51.0¢
Game Handicap: LAT (-1.5) vs Miami Heretics (+1.5)Lost
Los Angeles Thieves$58 @ 42.0¢
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 WinnerLost
FaZe Vegas$92 @ 37.0¢
Rocket League: Team Falcons vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group BLost
Team Falcons$15 @ 60.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 1 WinnerWon
Toronto KOI$2 @ 70.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Gaming win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Sports	No	$297	99.0¢
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Sports	No	$100	92.8¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$79	79.1¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$75	75.0¢
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	Sports	No	$75	68.0¢
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Sports	No	$72	68.2¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?	Sports	No	$69	69.0¢
Will Kansas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	—	U 8.5	$68	54.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$61	61.0¢
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	Sports	No	$58	73.0¢
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?	Sports	No	$56	70.0¢
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Sports	No	$56	62.0¢
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Sports	No	$55	81.4¢
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$55	84.8¢
Will Baylor have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	—	U 6.5	$55	61.0¢
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?	Sports	No	$54	79.9¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Sports	No	$53	89.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Sports	No	$53	35.0¢
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Sports	No	$52	87.4¢
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	—	No	$51	39.0¢
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Sports	No	$51	46.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$51	92.0¢
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Sports	No	$50	88.0¢
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Sports	No	$50	88.0¢
Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	Sports	No	$36	72.0¢
Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Sports	No	$35	58.0¢
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Sports	Yes	$31	61.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	36.0¢
Will the Houston Texans win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	Sports	U 9.5	$16	38.0¢
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$16	80.0¢

Will JD Gaming win VALORANT Champions 2026?Sports
No$297 @ 99.0¢
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Sports
No$100 @ 92.8¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
No$79 @ 79.1¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Sports
No$75 @ 68.0¢
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Sports
No$72 @ 68.2¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?Sports
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Kansas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?—
U 8.5$68 @ 54.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?Sports
No$58 @ 73.0¢
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?Sports
No$56 @ 70.0¢
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Sports
No$56 @ 62.0¢
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026?Sports
No$55 @ 81.4¢
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$55 @ 84.8¢
Will Baylor have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?—
U 6.5$55 @ 61.0¢
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?Sports
No$54 @ 79.9¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Sports
No$53 @ 89.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Sports
No$53 @ 35.0¢
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Sports
No$52 @ 87.4¢
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?—
No$51 @ 39.0¢
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Sports
No$51 @ 46.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$51 @ 92.0¢
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Sports
No$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?Sports
No$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Oregon Ducks Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?Sports
No$36 @ 72.0¢
Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Sports
No$35 @ 58.0¢
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Sports
Yes$31 @ 61.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 36.0¢
Will the Houston Texans win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?Sports
U 9.5$16 @ 38.0¢
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$16 @ 80.0¢