0x044f…d1f1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x044f334595a7fd42c143e11c8ec47f23c8d1d1f1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.8pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

53% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.195

Resolved

314

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (65/127)	+2%	127
Science	40% (41/103)	-20%	103
Politics	25% (3/12)	+68%	12

Other127 bets
Hit rate
51% (65/127)
ROI
+2%
Science103 bets
Hit rate
40% (41/103)
ROI
-20%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
25% (3/12)
ROI
+68%

Track record

45% hit · 109/242

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	No	$405	78.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	$10	12.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	$7	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	$62	43.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$190	26.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	No	$125	62.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	$7	9.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$8	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 21?	No	$8	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$419	70.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 23?	No	$109	58.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?	No	$71	58.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$274	27.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?	No	$224	74.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?	Yes	$13	7.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$3	8.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	No	$15	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?	No	$97	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?	No	$52	64.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	$20	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	$74	18.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	$491	43.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	$17	20.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?	Yes	$59	35.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	No	$248	59.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	$24	20.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?	No	$204	62.6¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	$36	31.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	No	$403	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	$9	10.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 21?	No	$105	72.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on June 22?	Yes	$4	8.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 22?	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	$42	17.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 22?	No	$200	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	$0	24.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?	No	$96	79.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?	No	$40	65.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 23?	No	$2	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	$1	4.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 22?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?	No	$200	72.2¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?Won
No$405 @ 78.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Lost
No$62 @ 43.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Won
Yes$190 @ 26.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Won
No$125 @ 62.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$7 @ 9.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 21?Won
No$8 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Won
Yes$419 @ 70.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 23?Lost
No$109 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?Won
No$71 @ 58.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?Lost
Yes$274 @ 27.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?Won
No$224 @ 74.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$13 @ 7.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?Won
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?Lost
No$15 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?Won
No$97 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?Lost
No$52 @ 64.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?Lost
No$20 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?Won
Yes$74 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?Won
No$491 @ 43.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$17 @ 20.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$59 @ 35.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?Lost
No$248 @ 59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$24 @ 20.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?Won
No$204 @ 62.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?Won
Yes$36 @ 31.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?Won
No$403 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$9 @ 10.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 21?Won
No$105 @ 72.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on June 22?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 22?Won
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?Lost
Yes$42 @ 17.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 22?Won
No$200 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?Won
Yes$0 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?Won
No$96 @ 79.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?Lost
No$40 @ 65.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 23?Won
No$2 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 22?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?Won
No$200 @ 72.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.5k	94.5¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$950	95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 26?	—	No	$516	75.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	—	No	$500	52.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	—	Yes	$388	57.6¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Politics	No	$358	94.1¢
EU dissolves before 2027?	Politics	No	$318	96.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?	—	No	$307	66.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Politics	No	$296	98.5¢
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	—	No	$273	91.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$270	90.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$270	90.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?	—	No	$181	47.7¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Politics	No	$174	95.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?	—	No	$149	72.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?	—	No	$133	62.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?	—	No	$132	45.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	—	No	$132	77.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?	—	No	$122	66.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 25?	—	No	$102	47.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?	—	No	$95	76.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?	—	No	$95	79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?	—	No	$94	67.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 26?	—	No	$91	80.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?	—	No	$89	55.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?	—	No	$89	23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?	—	No	$84	62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$77	21.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 26?	—	Yes	$73	18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	—	No	$72	58.1¢

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.5k @ 94.5¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Geopolitics
No$950 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 26?—
No$516 @ 75.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?—
No$500 @ 52.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?—
Yes$388 @ 57.6¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
No$358 @ 94.1¢
EU dissolves before 2027?Politics
No$318 @ 96.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?—
No$307 @ 66.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics
No$296 @ 98.5¢
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?—
No$273 @ 91.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$270 @ 90.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$270 @ 90.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?—
No$181 @ 47.7¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics
No$174 @ 95.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?—
No$149 @ 72.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?—
No$133 @ 62.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?—
No$132 @ 45.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?—
No$132 @ 77.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?—
No$122 @ 66.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 25?—
No$102 @ 47.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?—
No$95 @ 76.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?—
No$95 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?—
No$94 @ 67.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 26?—
No$91 @ 80.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?—
No$89 @ 55.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?—
No$89 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?—
No$84 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 26?—
Yes$77 @ 21.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 26?—
Yes$73 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?—
No$72 @ 58.1¢