← Smart money
0x043e…faa7
SharpEdge
+24.9pp
ROI
+47%
Win rate
83% @ 58.1¢
Brier
0.096
Resolved
59
Avg size
$106
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 40% (2/5) | +37% | 5 |
| Other | 67% (2/3) | +36% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +73% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +37%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +36%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +73%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
64% hit · 7/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | Ramazan Temirov | $31 | 50.0¢ | Won |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $261 | 20.0¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | $2.0k | 53.8¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | No | $500 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $260 | 19.6¢ | Won |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $77 | 5.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | $500 | 66.4¢ | Won |
| Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200? | No | $20 | 1.4¢ | Lost |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $420 | 32.5¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | $880 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) | Magomed Zaynukov | $1.3k | 73.3¢ | Won |
- Ramazan Temirov$31 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$261 @ 20.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 53.8¢
- No$500 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$260 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$77 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$500 @ 66.4¢
- No$20 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$420 @ 32.5¢
- No$880 @ 88.0¢
- Magomed Zaynukov$1.3k @ 73.3¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | No | $2.4k | 54.7¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | No | $790 | 79.0¢ |
- No$2.4k @ 54.7¢
- No$790 @ 79.0¢