0x0408…3d68

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0408c084014487e37e8287d642833e742fa23d68
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.3pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

37% @ 30.4¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

2685

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (541/1496)	+20%	1496
Science	11% (6/56)	-48%	56
Politics	30% (3/10)	+12%	10
Sports	40% (2/5)	+86%	5
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-1%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+12%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1496 bets
Hit rate
36% (541/1496)
ROI
+20%
Science56 bets
Hit rate
11% (6/56)
ROI
-48%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
+12%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+86%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-1%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 554/1571

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Yes	$6	11.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	$17	58.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 11?	No	$32	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?	Yes	$7	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 10?	Yes	$6	22.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 11?	Yes	$2	4.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 10?	No	$30	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on November 10?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 10?	No	$22	43.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on November 9?	No	$22	43.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 9?	No	$25	49.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 9?	Yes	$7	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	$18	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 9?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on November 9?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 8?	No	$16	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C or higher on November 8?	No	$14	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 8?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 8?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 8?	Yes	$5	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 8?	Yes	$5	19.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 8?	No	$13	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 7?	Yes	$7	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 7?	Yes	$8	12.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 4?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 29?	Yes	$9	18.4¢	Lost
Solana Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	$1	16.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 29?	Yes	$4	13.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 27?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 25?	Yes	$8	15.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	$3	5.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	$15	19.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	$57	39.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	$1	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?	Yes	$4	15.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	$7	10.7¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	$2	22.3¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$17 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 11?Lost
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 22.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 10?Won
No$30 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on November 10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 10?Lost
No$22 @ 43.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on November 9?Lost
No$22 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 9?Lost
No$25 @ 49.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 9?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?Lost
No$18 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 9?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on November 9?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 8?Won
No$16 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C or higher on November 8?Lost
No$14 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 8?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 8?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 8?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on November 8?Lost
No$13 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 7?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 7?Lost
Yes$8 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 7?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 7?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on November 6?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on November 6?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 4?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on November 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.4¢
Solana Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 16.0¢
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 22.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$8 @ 15.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$15 @ 19.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$57 @ 39.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$4 @ 15.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.7¢
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETLost
Down$2 @ 22.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?	—	Yes	$72	60.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?	—	Yes	$57	39.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 6?	—	Yes	$34	63.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 11?	Science	No	$32	64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 47-48°F on December 9?	—	Yes	$27	61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 15?	—	Yes	$25	39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 24?	—	Yes	$25	63.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 9?	Science	No	$25	49.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on January 27?	—	Yes	$22	45.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on November 9?	—	No	$22	43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 10?	Science	No	$22	43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 5?	—	Yes	$21	48.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 3?	—	Yes	$21	47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?	—	Yes	$21	53.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?	—	Yes	$20	61.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?	—	No	$19	75.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 6?	—	Yes	$18	11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	Science	No	$18	61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on February 20?	—	Yes	$18	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or higher on December 12?	—	Yes	$18	60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?	Science	Yes	$17	58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 22?	—	Yes	$17	12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 11?	—	Yes	$16	32.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 7?	—	Yes	$16	52.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 27?	—	Yes	$15	19.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?	—	No	$15	25.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 28?	—	Yes	$15	28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22?	—	Yes	$14	29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 6?	—	Yes	$14	47.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on December 24?	—	Yes	$14	47.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?—
Yes$72 @ 60.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?—
Yes$57 @ 39.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 6?—
Yes$34 @ 63.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 11?Science
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 47-48°F on December 9?—
Yes$27 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 15?—
Yes$25 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 24?—
Yes$25 @ 63.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 9?Science
No$25 @ 49.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on January 27?—
Yes$22 @ 45.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on November 9?—
No$22 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 10?Science
No$22 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 5?—
Yes$21 @ 48.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 3?—
Yes$21 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?—
Yes$21 @ 53.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?—
Yes$20 @ 61.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?—
No$19 @ 75.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 6?—
Yes$18 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?Science
No$18 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on February 20?—
Yes$18 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or higher on December 12?—
Yes$18 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11?Science
Yes$17 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 22?—
Yes$17 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 11?—
Yes$16 @ 32.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 7?—
Yes$16 @ 52.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 27?—
Yes$15 @ 19.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?—
No$15 @ 25.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 28?—
Yes$15 @ 28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22?—
Yes$14 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 6?—
Yes$14 @ 47.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on December 24?—
Yes$14 @ 47.0¢