0x02d2…f6e6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x02d25f78cbabeb67835dcab1322ffe6074baf6e6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+20.4pp

ROI

+103%

Win rate

61% @ 40.6¢

Brier

0.233

Resolved

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (12/24)	+92%	24
Sports	25% (2/8)	-3%	8
Crypto	80% (4/5)	+84%	5
Politics	33% (1/3)	-75%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+61%	1

Other24 bets
Hit rate
50% (12/24)
ROI
+92%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
-3%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+84%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-75%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+61%

Track record

49% hit · 20/41

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$25	45.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?	No	$2	64.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	42.1¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$2	50.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robert Whittaker	$2	57.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Israel Adesanya	$5	56.0¢	Lost
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$88	53.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$10	65.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?	No	$5	64.4¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$10	61.0¢	Lost
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Paddy Pimblett	$2	44.0¢	Won
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$3	33.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	$15	62.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$10	0.6¢	Lost
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Diego Lopes	$2	58.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	No	$46	61.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	Yes	$31	35.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	37.1¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	$5	62.0¢	Won
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on July 1?	No	$2	83.0¢	Won
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Volkanovski	$5	59.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?	No	$5	69.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$1	35.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	$41	65.4¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	$15	83.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$27	10.7¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	$2	18.0¢	Won
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	$10	4.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	$20	33.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Lost
No$25 @ 45.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Won
No$2 @ 64.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.1¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$2 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robert Whittaker$2 @ 57.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Israel Adesanya$5 @ 56.0¢
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Lost
No$1 @ 19.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$88 @ 53.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Won
No$5 @ 64.4¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Paddy Pimblett$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Won
No$15 @ 62.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$10 @ 0.6¢
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Diego Lopes$2 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Won
No$46 @ 61.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Lost
Yes$31 @ 35.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
No$5 @ 62.0¢
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on July 1?Won
No$2 @ 83.0¢
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Volkanovski$5 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?Won
No$5 @ 69.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 35.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
No$41 @ 65.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Conor McGregor$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Khamzat Chimaev$15 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Won
No$27 @ 10.7¢
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Justin Gaethje$2 @ 18.0¢
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?Won
No$20 @ 33.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$230	24.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	Crypto	Yes	$1	4.5¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Crypto
No$230 @ 24.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 4.5¢