← Smart money
0x0224…292a
ProfitableEdge
+14.1pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
59% @ 44.6¢
Brier
0.260
Resolved
1515
Avg size
$720
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (25/59) | +33% | 59 |
| Politics | 58% (18/31) | +37% | 31 |
| Sports | 40% (6/15) | +75% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (2/6) | -56% | 6 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -57% | 2 |
- Other59 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (25/59)
- ROI
- +33%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 58% (18/31)
- ROI
- +37%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (6/15)
- ROI
- +75%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -56%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -57%
Track record
46% hit · 52/113- No$249 @ 96.0¢
- MIBR fe$123 @ 60.0¢
- Gen.G$3.3k @ 33.0¢
- No$101 @ 89.2¢
- Yes$178 @ 10.0¢
- 1WIN$6.2k @ 32.5¢
- LYON$4.4k @ 14.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 79.4¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 7.7¢
- Nongshim Red Force$5.9k @ 41.1¢
- G2 Esports$22.8k @ 15.6¢
- Hanwha Life Esports$2.1k @ 83.0¢
- No$407 @ 40.0¢
- JD Gaming$8.3k @ 67.8¢
- Chiefs$4.0k @ 85.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$2.0k @ 51.3¢
- No$4.8k @ 34.4¢
- No$3.6k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$16.6k @ 43.6¢
- No$5.9k @ 18.3¢
- No$18 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$31.2k @ 80.3¢
- No$7.5k @ 62.5¢
- Yes$20.3k @ 41.3¢
- Over$440 @ 43.3¢
- No$10.8k @ 71.4¢
- No$286 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$406 @ 27.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$14.9k @ 49.7¢
- No$1.9k @ 15.6¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 0.8¢
- No$1.1k @ 54.0¢
- Dplus KIA$11.4k @ 48.0¢
- T1$1.3k @ 7.1¢
- No$5.6k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 22.4¢
- No$3.9k @ 80.0¢
- No$12.9k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$226 @ 12.0¢
- Evil Geniuses$1.7k @ 44.0¢
- NRG$7 @ 53.0¢
- PARIVISION$1.3k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 60.0¢
- Yes$872 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$24.4k @ 62.4¢
- Yes$78 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$12.5k @ 12.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Politics | No | $43.9k | 77.5¢ |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Politics | No | $18.8k | 94.3¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $10.1k | 43.9¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $6.7k | 96.3¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $4.7k | 44.8¢ |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | Sports | GAM Esports | $4.3k | 32.2¢ |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | Sports | Shopify Rebellion | $4.0k | 57.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $2.4k | 81.0¢ |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Crypto | No | $1.9k | 92.8¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.9k | 73.5¢ |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $73 | 83.7¢ |
- No$43.9k @ 77.5¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$18.8k @ 94.3¢
- Yes$10.1k @ 43.9¢
- No$6.7k @ 96.3¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 44.8¢
- GAM Esports$4.3k @ 32.2¢
- Shopify Rebellion$4.0k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 81.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 92.8¢
- No$1.9k @ 73.5¢
- Yes$73 @ 83.7¢