0x01ce…27a2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.2pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

40% @ 36.5¢

Brier

0.209

Resolved

3843

Avg size

$19

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (130/357)	+7%	357
Science	32% (23/73)	+1%	73
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other357 bets
Hit rate
36% (130/357)
ROI
+7%
Science73 bets
Hit rate
32% (23/73)
ROI
+1%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 153/432

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	$192	33.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	$8	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	$192	38.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	$7	7.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$39	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	$6	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	$91	13.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	No	$484	73.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 22?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?	Yes	$14	31.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?	Yes	$583	58.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?	Yes	$286	39.2¢	Lost
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	No	$171	89.4¢	Won
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	$13	17.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	$106	25.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$13	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	$153	42.9¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 24?	Yes	$146	39.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	No	$36	15.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	$134	84.6¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	$31	42.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	$90	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	$58	67.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	$132	37.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	$6	17.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	40.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	Yes	$445	64.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?	No	$126	44.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?	Yes	$210	40.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	$126	17.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	$105	82.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	Yes	$240	24.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?	Yes	$217	50.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	$9	9.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	$108	17.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	$30	14.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?	Yes	$9	9.9¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?	Yes	$190	51.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	$133	17.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	$117	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	$519	42.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?	Yes	$79	25.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	$185	54.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	$129	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?	No	$530	83.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?	Yes	$114	25.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	$31	33.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?	Yes	$58	15.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$192 @ 33.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?Won
Yes$192 @ 38.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Lost
Yes$39 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?Lost
Yes$91 @ 13.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?Won
No$484 @ 73.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 22?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?Lost
Yes$14 @ 31.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?Won
Yes$583 @ 58.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?Lost
Yes$286 @ 39.2¢
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?Won
No$171 @ 89.4¢
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?Lost
Yes$13 @ 17.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?Lost
Yes$106 @ 25.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$13 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Won
Yes$153 @ 42.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 24?Won
Yes$146 @ 39.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?Lost
No$36 @ 15.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?Won
Yes$134 @ 84.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$31 @ 42.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?Lost
Yes$90 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?Lost
No$58 @ 67.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?Won
Yes$132 @ 37.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$6 @ 17.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 40.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?Won
Yes$445 @ 64.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?Won
No$126 @ 44.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?Lost
Yes$210 @ 40.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Lost
Yes$126 @ 17.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?Lost
No$105 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?Won
Yes$240 @ 24.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?Won
Yes$217 @ 50.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 8?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$108 @ 17.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?Lost
Yes$30 @ 14.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?Won
Yes$9 @ 9.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$190 @ 51.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$133 @ 17.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?Won
Yes$117 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Won
Yes$519 @ 42.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$79 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?Lost
Yes$185 @ 54.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$129 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?Won
No$530 @ 83.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$114 @ 25.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$31 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?Lost
Yes$58 @ 15.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$183	52.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Science	No	$153	53.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$144	57.6¢
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$85	56.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$64	35.8¢
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$42	21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$15	21.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$14	14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$3	0.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$3	0.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?	Science	Yes	$2	1.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?Science
Yes$183 @ 52.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?Science
No$153 @ 53.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?Science
Yes$144 @ 57.6¢
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$85 @ 56.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?Science
Yes$64 @ 35.8¢
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?Science
Yes$15 @ 21.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1?Science
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?Science
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 1?Science
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?Science
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢