0x018c…bbea

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x018c8fa566d57919a3317e7aa4349b0c66bebbea
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.0pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

100% @ 83.0¢

Brier

0.037

Resolved

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Economy	100% (13/13)	+4%	13
Politics	100% (6/6)	+5%	6
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+3%	5
Other	100% (2/2)	+53%	2

Economy13 bets
Hit rate
100% (13/13)
ROI
+4%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+5%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+3%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+53%

Track record

100% hit · 26/26

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	$4	99.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$225	65.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$2	78.0¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	89.2¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$36	86.3¢	Won
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$24	88.2¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$33	88.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$109	88.6¢	Won
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	$8	93.5¢	Won
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	96.1¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	$1	92.0¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	$145	97.6¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	No	$27	99.3¢	Won
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	$13	97.8¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	$4	99.2¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	$40	98.1¢	Won
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	$5	99.1¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$5	98.0¢	Won
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	$117	97.4¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$238	97.3¢	Won
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	$22	99.3¢	Won
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	$46	98.3¢	Won
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8	93.9¢	Won
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	$13	98.7¢	Won
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?	No	$4	99.6¢	Won
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?	Yes	$5	98.9¢	Won

Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?Won
No$4 @ 99.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$225 @ 65.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$2 @ 78.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1 @ 89.2¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Won
Yes$36 @ 86.3¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 88.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$33 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$109 @ 88.6¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Won
No$8 @ 93.5¢
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1 @ 96.1¢
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Won
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
Yes$145 @ 97.6¢
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?Won
No$27 @ 99.3¢
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Won
No$13 @ 97.8¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Won
No$4 @ 99.2¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
No$40 @ 98.1¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Won
No$5 @ 99.1¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Won
No$5 @ 98.0¢
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Won
No$117 @ 97.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$238 @ 97.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Won
No$22 @ 99.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Won
Yes$46 @ 98.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$8 @ 93.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Won
No$13 @ 98.7¢
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?Won
No$4 @ 99.6¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?Won
Yes$5 @ 98.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	Economy	Yes	$361	99.8¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Economy	No	$102	99.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Geopolitics	No	$100	96.8¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Economy	No	$85	99.9¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$28	95.8¢
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?	Economy	No	$20	99.9¢
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$16	94.6¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$14	98.8¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$14	99.7¢
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Economy	No	$8	99.9¢
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Economy	No	$8	99.9¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Economy	No	$8	99.9¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	No	$8	97.3¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	No	$8	97.9¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Politics	No	$3	98.3¢
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$2	99.2¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	91.9¢

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?Economy
Yes$361 @ 99.8¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy
No$102 @ 99.9¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolitics
No$100 @ 96.8¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy
No$85 @ 99.9¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$28 @ 95.8¢
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$16 @ 94.6¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$14 @ 98.8¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$14 @ 99.7¢
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy
No$8 @ 99.9¢
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy
No$8 @ 99.9¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy
No$8 @ 99.9¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
No$8 @ 97.3¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
No$8 @ 97.9¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics
No$3 @ 98.3¢
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 99.2¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 91.9¢