0x017b…1ef4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x017bbd948248be2ae58d8fbfad186428c7291ef4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.7pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

29% @ 24.1¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

3870

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (239/656)	-3%	656
Sports	45% (15/33)	+58%	33
Tech	0% (0/15)	-100%	15
Politics	20% (2/10)	+26%	10

Other656 bets
Hit rate
36% (239/656)
ROI
-3%
Sports33 bets
Hit rate
45% (15/33)
ROI
+58%
Tech15 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/15)
ROI
-100%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
+26%

Track record

36% hit · 256/714

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will RadarScope be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Shots: Photo & Video Generator be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$7	7.4¢	Lost
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?	Yes	$7	48.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	No	$11	1.0¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Melania's remarks not air?	No	$14	68.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?	No	$3	8.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Governor" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?	Yes	$12	59.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	$225	11.9¢	Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Team Secret Whales	$22	1.0¢	Lost
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	$21	69.7¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?	Yes	$27	80.5¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	No	$6	20.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	Yes	$18	1.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.5¢	Lost
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$15	12.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?	Yes	$0	35.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	$20	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$7	25.0¢	Lost
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	Yes	$311	54.2¢	Won
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Della Maddalena	$23	20.7¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	$17	73.7¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	$45	37.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$40	17.5¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon Gobble?	Yes	$15	73.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp Blue	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Putin" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?	No	$16	58.0¢	Lost
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?	No	$145	72.7¢	Won
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?	Yes	$169	6.2¢	Lost
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?	Yes	$29	9.7¢	Lost
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?	Yes	$9	47.6¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?	No	$83	79.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?	No	$17	42.0¢	Lost

Will RadarScope be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Shots: Photo & Video Generator be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.4¢
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Won
Yes$7 @ 48.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?Lost
No$11 @ 1.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Melania's remarks not air?Won
No$14 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Lost
No$3 @ 8.5¢
Will Trump say "Governor" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Won
Yes$12 @ 59.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Lost
No$225 @ 11.9¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Secret Whales$22 @ 1.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Won
No$21 @ 69.7¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerWon
HANJIN BRION$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Won
Yes$27 @ 80.5¢
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Lost
No$6 @ 20.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Lost
Yes$15 @ 12.5¢
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Lost
Yes$0 @ 35.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Lost
Yes$7 @ 25.0¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?Won
Yes$311 @ 54.2¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Della Maddalena$23 @ 20.7¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
LGD Gaming$17 @ 73.7¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Lost
No$45 @ 37.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$40 @ 17.5¢
Will Trump pardon Gobble?Won
Yes$15 @ 73.0¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerLost
Karmine Corp Blue$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Putin" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Lost
No$16 @ 58.0¢
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?Won
No$145 @ 72.7¢
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?Lost
Yes$169 @ 6.2¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Lost
Yes$29 @ 9.7¢
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?Won
Yes$9 @ 47.6¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?Won
No$83 @ 79.2¢
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Lost
No$17 @ 42.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$26	5.2¢
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	No	$12	59.0¢
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$1	3.3¢
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	Sports	No	$1	20.8¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.4¢
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will APTV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$0	1.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$26 @ 5.2¢
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
No$12 @ 59.0¢
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?Sports
No$1 @ 20.8¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will APTV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢