← Smart money
0x014c…820c
ProfitableEdge
+7.0pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
47% @ 40.2¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
269
Avg size
$789
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 31% (16/51) | +30% | 51 |
| Other | 29% (9/31) | -13% | 31 |
| Politics | 24% (4/17) | -14% | 17 |
| Tech | 56% (5/9) | +19% | 9 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +34% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +35% | 1 |
- Sports51 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (16/51)
- ROI
- +30%
- Other31 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (9/31)
- ROI
- -13%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (4/17)
- ROI
- -14%
- Tech9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +19%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +34%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +35%
Track record
30% hit · 36/120- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- No$1.9k @ 38.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 4.7¢
- No$2.1k @ 86.7¢
- Yes$73 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$912 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 17.5¢
- Yes$92 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 74.0¢
- No$236 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 35.3¢
- Yes$67.9k @ 78.3¢
- No$3.3k @ 80.5¢
- Yes$91 @ 8.7¢
- No$36.3k @ 48.6¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$182 @ 1.8¢
- No$1.8k @ 82.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 79.0¢
- No$27.3k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
- No$9 @ 44.0¢
- No$20.3k @ 78.5¢
- No$13.3k @ 64.8¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 41.6¢
- No$12 @ 0.1¢
- No$781 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 3.5¢
- No$4 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$268 @ 0.8¢
- No$1.0k @ 1.3¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.6¢
- No$142 @ 70.0¢
- Ray J$294 @ 20.9¢
- Gujarat Titans$1.3k @ 63.0¢
- No$505 @ 86.2¢
- Joaquin Buckley$786 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
- No$197 @ 9.0¢
- No$43.8k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 5.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$85.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$85.0k @ 50.0¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$56.3k @ 82.0¢
- No$41.2k @ 89.5¢
- No$13.1k @ 91.1¢
- No$10.5k @ 91.8¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 89.4¢
- No$10.2k @ 76.0¢
- No$10.1k @ 90.3¢
- No$9.2k @ 79.1¢
- No$8.2k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$7.3k @ 65.9¢
- No$7.0k @ 84.0¢
- No$6.1k @ 42.4¢
- No$5.6k @ 71.4¢
- No$5.6k @ 71.2¢
- No$4.5k @ 90.5¢
- No$4.5k @ 61.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 85.7¢
- No$4.3k @ 98.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 65.0¢
- No$4.1k @ 84.1¢
- No$3.8k @ 92.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 69.3¢
- No$3.4k @ 89.4¢
- No$3.2k @ 97.4¢
- No$3.1k @ 94.8¢
- No$3.0k @ 92.4¢
- No$2.9k @ 98.4¢
- No$2.9k @ 85.6¢