← Smart money
0x0121…f722
SharpEdge
+7.9pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
52% @ 44.5¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
1090
Avg size
$418
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 47% (88/187) | +9% | 187 |
| Other | 50% (18/36) | -24% | 36 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -7% | 2 |
- Sports187 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (88/187)
- ROI
- +9%
- Other36 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (18/36)
- ROI
- -24%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -7%
Track record
48% hit · 107/225- No$898 @ 76.4¢
- No$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 79.3¢
- No$257 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$14.3k @ 43.8¢
- No$37.4k @ 65.9¢
- Yes$37.0k @ 13.2¢
- No$235 @ 80.5¢
- Yes$67 @ 16.1¢
- Under$122 @ 81.0¢
- No$468 @ 52.2¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$242 @ 23.1¢
- Yes$370 @ 82.4¢
- No$831 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$471 @ 29.0¢
- No$10.2k @ 20.4¢
- Yes$12.2k @ 67.2¢
- No$4 @ 78.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 40.7¢
- Yes$443 @ 39.0¢
- No$11.1k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 15.0¢
- No$4.6k @ 81.8¢
- Yes$128 @ 16.5¢
- No$256 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$119 @ 33.9¢
- No$7.4k @ 62.4¢
- Yes$10.2k @ 54.9¢
- No$952 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 0.7¢
- No$3.5k @ 21.0¢
- Yes$6.5k @ 69.4¢
- No$38 @ 25.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 79.6¢
- No$22.0k @ 89.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
- No$1.8k @ 64.5¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 25.3¢
- No$5.0k @ 27.9¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 53.4¢
- No$414 @ 79.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 1.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 12.9¢
- No$371 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $23 | 2.2¢ |
- Yes$23 @ 2.2¢