← Smart money
0x0099…386e
SharpEdge
+2.9pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
38% @ 34.8¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
1495
Avg size
$95
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 42% (24/57) | +1% | 57 |
| Other | 49% (22/45) | +18% | 45 |
| Geopolitics | 38% (6/16) | +18% | 16 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | +98% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics57 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (24/57)
- ROI
- +1%
- Other45 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (22/45)
- ROI
- +18%
- Geopolitics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (6/16)
- ROI
- +18%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +98%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 53/122- Up$23 @ 45.0¢
- Down$4 @ 18.0¢
- Down$30 @ 52.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 4.5¢
- No$239 @ 11.1¢
- No$939 @ 44.7¢
- Yes$495 @ 24.3¢
- No$3.0k @ 30.8¢
- No$3.1k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 16.6¢
- Yes$462 @ 28.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$209 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 16.0¢
- No$7.7k @ 47.2¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 35.3¢
- No$422 @ 85.9¢
- No$3.3k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 24.2¢
- No$70 @ 7.0¢
- No$586 @ 66.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 54.9¢
- Yes$48 @ 2.1¢
- No$498 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$496 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$480 @ 19.2¢
- No$6.5k @ 68.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 18.2¢
- Yes$230 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$228 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 38.4¢
- No$1.7k @ 72.7¢
- Yes$197 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 32.0¢
- Yes$359 @ 23.9¢
- Yes$330 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$414 @ 59.1¢
- Yes$420 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$433 @ 27.1¢
- No$492 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$347 @ 5.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 64.7¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 30.5¢
- No$2.6k @ 80.6¢
- Yes$250 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$180 @ 15.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 65.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1.0k | 37.4¢ |
- Yes$1.0k @ 37.4¢