0x005e…6d8e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

43% @ 35.6¢

Brier

0.141

Resolved

412

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (584/2789)	+2%	2789
Science	12% (116/963)	+6%	963
Politics	19% (14/74)	-15%	74
Sports	55% (17/31)	+17%	31
Tech	55% (6/11)	-100%	11
Economy	18% (2/11)	+65%	11
Culture	13% (1/8)	-8%	8
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+18%	3
Business	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other2789 bets
Hit rate
21% (584/2789)
ROI
+2%
Science963 bets
Hit rate
12% (116/963)
ROI
+6%
Politics74 bets
Hit rate
19% (14/74)
ROI
-15%
Sports31 bets
Hit rate
55% (17/31)
ROI
+17%
Tech11 bets
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
ROI
-100%
Economy11 bets
Hit rate
18% (2/11)
ROI
+65%
Culture8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-8%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+18%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 741/3894

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$7	9.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	$4	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	No	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$18	25.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Lost
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$5	5.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	$12	76.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?	No	$16	84.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?	No	$4	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?	No	$13	51.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	$1	59.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?	No	$54	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	No	$62	59.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	$17	17.2¢	Lost
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$14	17.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 20?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?	No	$3	63.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	$6	19.8¢	Lost
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$50	48.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?	No	$16	64.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?	Yes	$11	58.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?	Yes	$0	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20?	Yes	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$1	3.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 21?	No	$0	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 20?	No	$5	76.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?	No	$1	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	$25	74.8¢	Won
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	No	$5	29.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?	No	$3	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?	No	$6	28.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	$13	77.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	No	$46	82.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	$11	73.0¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$63	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	No	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?	No	$7	33.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	$3	25.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 21?	No	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?	No	$3	5.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	No	$7	19.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	$4	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 20?	No	$10	60.0¢	Won

Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$7 @ 9.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 20?Won
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Lost
No$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Won
Yes$18 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?Won
No$12 @ 76.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?Won
No$16 @ 84.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Won
No$4 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?Won
No$13 @ 51.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?Won
No$54 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Won
No$62 @ 59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.2¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
No$14 @ 17.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 20?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?Won
No$3 @ 63.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 19.8¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$50 @ 48.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Won
No$16 @ 64.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$11 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?Lost
No$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$1 @ 3.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 21?Lost
No$0 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 20?Won
No$5 @ 76.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?Lost
No$1 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?Won
Yes$25 @ 74.8¢
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Lost
No$5 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?Won
No$3 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?Lost
No$6 @ 28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?Won
Yes$13 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Won
No$46 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?Won
Yes$11 @ 73.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$63 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Lost
No$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?Won
No$7 @ 33.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 21?Won
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?Lost
No$3 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?Lost
No$7 @ 19.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?Won
No$4 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 20?Won
No$10 @ 60.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$126	3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$125	3.1¢
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$120	3.1¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$119	3.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$109	3.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$66	22.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$58	3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?	Science	No	$36	92.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$35	3.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Politics	No	$31	57.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on September 22?	Science	Yes	$27	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on September 22?	Science	Yes	$27	9.1¢
Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$27	5.5¢
Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$27	5.5¢
Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$27	5.5¢
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$27	5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 22?	Science	Yes	$26	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 22?	Science	Yes	$26	9.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$25	71.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22?	Science	No	$24	57.0¢
Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$23	5.5¢
Will Enio Verri win the Governor of Paraná election?	Politics	Yes	$23	5.5¢

Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$126 @ 3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$125 @ 3.1¢
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 3.1¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$119 @ 3.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$109 @ 3.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$66 @ 22.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$58 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?Science
No$36 @ 92.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$35 @ 3.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Politics
No$31 @ 57.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on September 22?Science
Yes$27 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on September 22?Science
Yes$27 @ 9.1¢
Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$27 @ 5.5¢
Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$27 @ 5.5¢
Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$27 @ 5.5¢
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$27 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 22?Science
Yes$26 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 22?Science
Yes$26 @ 9.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$25 @ 71.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22?Science
No$24 @ 57.0¢
Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$23 @ 5.5¢
Will Enio Verri win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
Yes$23 @ 5.5¢