0x0059…1626

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0059d6d40082ee8eb553c94810c82931cb3f1626
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

71% @ 54.2¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

Avg size

$39

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	55% (6/11)	+29%	11
Other	38% (3/8)	+30%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Politics11 bets
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
ROI
+29%
Other8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+30%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

50% hit · 10/20

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$248	82.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$21	21.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$99	24.5¢	Lost
France vs. England: O/U 7.5	Over	$113	74.2¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$453	75.5¢	Won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance	Paraguay	$21	8.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$23	23.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$31	31.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	$107	53.3¢	Won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$43	41.5¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$103	46.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	No	$36	71.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	No	$90	89.9¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$29	14.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	Norway	$71	33.0¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$4	0.8¢	Lost
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	$408	66.3¢	Won
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$149	42.2¢	Won

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$248 @ 82.7¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$21 @ 21.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$99 @ 24.5¢
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$113 @ 74.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$453 @ 75.5¢
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceLost
Paraguay$21 @ 8.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Lost
No$31 @ 31.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
Yes$107 @ 53.3¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$43 @ 41.5¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$103 @ 46.2¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Won
No$36 @ 71.0¢
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?Won
No$90 @ 89.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$29 @ 14.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWon
Norway$71 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$4 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Won
Yes$408 @ 66.3¢
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$149 @ 42.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$92	30.8¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$79	79.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$61	60.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$55	55.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$26	26.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	19.0¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	13.7¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	3.9¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	3.5¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$92 @ 30.8¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Geopolitics
No$79 @ 79.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$61 @ 60.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics
Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 13.7¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 3.9¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢