← Умные деньги
0xbe89…b88c
ПрофиЭдж
+3.8pp
ROI
+12%
Доля побед
50% @ 45.8¢
Brier
0.145
Сделок
3374
Ср. размер
$353
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (504/1155) | +14% | 1155 |
| Политика | 68% (25/37) | -1% | 37 |
| Экономика | 40% (6/15) | +60% | 15 |
| Геополитика | 100% (3/3) | +16% | 3 |
- Other1155 ставки
- Попадания
- 44% (504/1155)
- ROI
- +14%
- Политика37 ставки
- Попадания
- 68% (25/37)
- ROI
- -1%
- Экономика15 ставки
- Попадания
- 40% (6/15)
- ROI
- +60%
- Геополитика3 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +16%
История результатов
44% попаданий · 538/1210- No$100 @ 49.3¢
- No$21 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$200 @ 69.1¢
- Will the Conservative Party win between 38% and 41% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?ПоражениеYes$44 @ 34.9¢
- No$30 @ 89.0¢
- US x Iran ceasefire before July? ПоражениеYes$15 @ 9.0¢
- No$100 @ 77.9¢
- No$380 @ 16.9¢
- No$6.0k @ 87.7¢
- Yes$25 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 19.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 74.7¢
- Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?ПоражениеYes$150 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$765 @ 84.3¢
- No$20 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 34.9¢
- No$500 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$43 @ 30.6¢
- Trump meets with Carney before June?ПоражениеNo$100 @ 40.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Will Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance?ПоражениеNo$80 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$250 @ 82.4¢
- 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?ПоражениеYes$6 @ 9.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.1¢
- No$1.4k @ 73.3¢
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?ПоражениеYes$245 @ 34.6¢
- No$200 @ 38.9¢
- Yes$500 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
- No$5.8k @ 84.8¢
- Yes$120 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 27.9¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 86.0¢
- No$250 @ 67.0¢
- No$200 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 17.0¢
- No$20 @ 31.6¢
- Yes$872 @ 85.9¢
- No$25 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$204 @ 45.7¢
- No$312 @ 85.9¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?ЭкономикаYes$38.9k @ 88.5¢
- Yes$15.1k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$14.5k @ 88.0¢
- No$12.5k @ 90.0¢
- Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?ЭкономикаNo$7.3k @ 90.9¢
- Yes$7.1k @ 89.6¢
- No$6.2k @ 85.3¢
- No$5.1k @ 89.9¢
- No$5.0k @ 92.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?ГеополитикаNo$4.2k @ 90.6¢
- No$3.7k @ 69.8¢
- No$3.2k @ 79.9¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 31.5¢
- No$2.9k @ 81.3¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 27.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 89.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 95.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.3¢
- No$1.4k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 88.6¢
- No$825 @ 91.3¢
- No$817 @ 83.7¢
- No$783 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$723 @ 91.0¢
- No$712 @ 89.0¢
- No$700 @ 50.2¢
- No$500 @ 90.0¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- No$400 @ 90.0¢