← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 31, 2026

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

69.5¢

No

30.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 68%No 32%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x3c59…1766	Yes	$374	9.6¢	2.3×	+96%	76%	Profitable
0xfc1f…a246	No	$250	91.0¢	2.9×	+3%	85%	Profitable
0x21f7…e19f	Yes	$139	5.0¢	0.8×	+24%	46%	Sharp
0xf454…7ecc	Yes	$13	8.6¢	3.4×	+113%	29%	Sharp
0xd75a…fdec	Yes	$0	11.0¢	0.0×	+26%	55%	Profitable

0x3c59…1766Profitable

Yes$374 @ 9.6¢

Conv: 2.3×
ROI: +96%
Win%: 76%

0xfc1f…a246Profitable

No$250 @ 91.0¢

Conv: 2.9×
ROI: +3%
Win%: 85%

0x21f7…e19fSharp

Yes$139 @ 5.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 46%

0xf454…7eccSharp

Yes$13 @ 8.6¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +113%
Win%: 29%

0xd75a…fdecProfitable

Yes$0 @ 11.0¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 55%