← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 5, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

27.5¢

No

72.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 11 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 84%No 16%

12 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x802d…d59a	Yes	$70	37.1¢	18×	+57%	27%	Sharp
0x8bb1…6644	Yes	$45	65.3¢	9.4×	+61%	68%	Profitable
0x19f4…c772	Yes	$27	31.9¢	3.6×	+40%	44%	Sharp
0xc34f…7d2e	No	$23	45.8¢	9.2×	+25%	26%	Sharp
0xc34f…7d2e	Yes	$20	74.5¢	8.1×	+25%	26%	Sharp
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$18	35.0¢	6.6×	+51%	16%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	No	$10	66.3¢	3.0×	+34%	33%	Sharp
0xd615…ae32	Yes	$8	49.6¢	12×	+29%	21%	Sharp
0xd654…2efe	No	$4	70.0¢	0.5×	+4%	69%	Profitable
0x3e96…b306	Yes	$3	35.0¢	1.3×	+24%	39%	Sharp
0xdd97…fdd2	Yes	$2	27.8¢	4.6×	+25%	12%	Sharp
0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	$0	0.1¢	2.5×	+1056%	1%	Sharp

0x802d…d59aSharp

Yes$70 @ 37.1¢

Conv: 18×
ROI: +57%
Win%: 27%

0x8bb1…6644Profitable

Yes$45 @ 65.3¢

Conv: 9.4×
ROI: +61%
Win%: 68%

0x19f4…c772Sharp

Yes$27 @ 31.9¢

Conv: 3.6×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 44%

0xc34f…7d2eSharp

No$23 @ 45.8¢

Conv: 9.2×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 26%

0xc34f…7d2eSharp

Yes$20 @ 74.5¢

Conv: 8.1×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 26%

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$18 @ 35.0¢

Conv: 6.6×
ROI: +51%
Win%: 16%

0x0a0c…a853Sharp

No$10 @ 66.3¢

Conv: 3.0×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 33%

0xd615…ae32Sharp

Yes$8 @ 49.6¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 21%

0xd654…2efeProfitable

No$4 @ 70.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 69%

0x3e96…b306Sharp

Yes$3 @ 35.0¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 39%

0xdd97…fdd2Sharp

Yes$2 @ 27.8¢

Conv: 4.6×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 12%

0x9a94…d5f9Sharp

Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Conv: 2.5×
ROI: +1056%
Win%: 1%