← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.1¢

No

99.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Lean

No 70%Yes 30%

3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x3d0f…70bd	No	$2	99.5¢	1.4×	+29%	100%	Profitable
0xa3ad…6866	No	$2	99.4¢	0.1×	+25%	47%	Sharp
0x62ad…79fc	Yes	$2	3.1¢	0.0×	+23%	73%	Sharp

0x3d0f…70bdProfitable

No$2 @ 99.5¢

Conv: 1.4×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 100%

0xa3ad…6866Sharp

No$2 @ 99.4¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 47%

0x62ad…79fcSharp

Yes$2 @ 3.1¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 73%