← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 5, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 5?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

13.5¢

No

86.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Strong

No 85%Yes 15%

8 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xc34f…7d2e	No	$49	65.0¢	19×	+25%	26%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	No	$10	75.0¢	3.0×	+34%	33%	Sharp
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$7	28.0¢	2.6×	+51%	16%	Sharp
0xd654…2efe	No	$6	66.7¢	0.8×	+4%	69%	Profitable
0x1f85…7b02	No	$6	56.7¢	7.0×	+63%	16%	Profitable
0x3e96…b306	Yes	$4	44.0¢	1.9×	+24%	39%	Sharp
0xe54c…2c69	No	$4	74.0¢	1.3×	+27%	66%	Profitable
0xd615…ae32	Yes	$2	43.0¢	3.1×	+29%	21%	Sharp

0xc34f…7d2eSharp

No$49 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 19×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 26%

0x0a0c…a853Sharp

No$10 @ 75.0¢

Conv: 3.0×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 33%

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$7 @ 28.0¢

Conv: 2.6×
ROI: +51%
Win%: 16%

0xd654…2efeProfitable

No$6 @ 66.7¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 69%

0x1f85…7b02Profitable

No$6 @ 56.7¢

Conv: 7.0×
ROI: +63%
Win%: 16%

0x3e96…b306Sharp

Yes$4 @ 44.0¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 39%

0xe54c…2c69Profitable

No$4 @ 74.0¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 66%

0xd615…ae32Sharp

Yes$2 @ 43.0¢

Conv: 3.1×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 21%