← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 5, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 5?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

24.0¢

No

76.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 6 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 69%No 31%

6 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$7	28.0¢	2.6×	+51%	16%	Sharp
0xd654…2efe	No	$6	74.0¢	0.8×	+4%	69%	Profitable
0x3e96…b306	Yes	$2	24.0¢	0.8×	+24%	39%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	Yes	$2	19.0¢	0.6×	+34%	33%	Sharp
0xd615…ae32	Yes	$1	23.0¢	1.6×	+29%	21%	Sharp
0xc34f…7d2e	Yes	$1	16.0¢	0.4×	+25%	26%	Sharp

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$7 @ 28.0¢

Conv: 2.6×
ROI: +51%
Win%: 16%

0xd654…2efeProfitable

No$6 @ 74.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 69%

0x3e96…b306Sharp

Yes$2 @ 24.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 39%

0x0a0c…a853Sharp

Yes$2 @ 19.0¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 33%

0xd615…ae32Sharp

Yes$1 @ 23.0¢

Conv: 1.6×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 21%

0xc34f…7d2eSharp

Yes$1 @ 16.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 26%