← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 4, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

10.5¢

No

89.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 7 tracked sharps

Lean

No 65%Yes 35%

7 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x9a86…84ec	No	$10	75.0¢	5.0×	+25%	29%	Sharp
0x5686…690a	Yes	$6	9.1¢	2.2×	+13%	66%	Sharp
0x5565…4b3b	No	$6	75.0¢	3.3×	+13%	30%	Sharp
0x12ac…cae8	Yes	$2	3.9¢	1.8×	+52%	40%	Sharp
0xe54c…2c69	No	$1	70.0¢	0.5×	+27%	66%	Profitable
0xdd97…fdd2	Yes	$1	5.9¢	1.3×	+25%	12%	Sharp
0x04dc…d572	Yes	$1	9.1¢	0.5×	+28%	31%	Sharp

0x9a86…84ecSharp

No$10 @ 75.0¢

Conv: 5.0×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 29%

0x5686…690aSharp

Yes$6 @ 9.1¢

Conv: 2.2×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 66%

0x5565…4b3bSharp

No$6 @ 75.0¢

Conv: 3.3×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 30%

0x12ac…cae8Sharp

Yes$2 @ 3.9¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +52%
Win%: 40%

0xe54c…2c69Profitable

No$1 @ 70.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 66%

0xdd97…fdd2Sharp

Yes$1 @ 5.9¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 12%

0x04dc…d572Sharp

Yes$1 @ 9.1¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 31%