PoliticsActiveends Oct 1, 2026

Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.3¢

No

98.7¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Strong

No 99%Yes 1%

Include 3 outside the consensus pool5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x5ff7…f7f0	No	$1.8k	98.2¢	18×	+13%	89%	Sharp
0x1359…092e	No	$1.3k	96.6¢	4.7×	+16%	96%	Sharp
0x21d5…9925	No	$1.0k	98.3¢	14×	+8%	78%	Sharp
0xd34b…0004	No	$67	96.4¢	0.6×	+21%	72%	Sharp
0x1c4c…8d85	Yes	$21	3.0¢	0.7×	+9%	27%	Sharp

0x5ff7…f7f0Sharp

No$1.8k @ 98.2¢

Conv: 18×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 89%

0x1359…092eSharp

No$1.3k @ 96.6¢

Conv: 4.7×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 96%

0x21d5…9925Sharp

No$1.0k @ 98.3¢

Conv: 14×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 78%

0xd34b…0004Sharp

No$67 @ 96.4¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 72%

0x1c4c…8d85Sharp

Yes$21 @ 3.0¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 27%