0xff92…d07c

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other100 bets

  Hit rate

  44% (44/100)

  ROI

  -10%

• Sports14 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (7/14)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics12 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (7/12)

  ROI

  +54%

• Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 11.8¢
• Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$2 @ 26.0¢
• Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 27.8¢
• Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 32.7¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
  No$9 @ 84.4¢
• Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 18.6¢
• Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$111 @ 81.6¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Lost
  No$172 @ 20.6¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Won
  Yes$281 @ 67.9¢
• Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$5 @ 80.0¢
• Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 7.2¢
• Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
  Yes$39 @ 72.2¢
• Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
• Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$4 @ 41.0¢
• Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$122 @ 73.2¢
• Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$111 @ 68.7¢
• Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
• Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$62 @ 89.0¢
• Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 8.9¢
• Will Ursula von der Leyen be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
• Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Lost
  Yes$53 @ 14.1¢
• Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$6 @ 64.0¢
• Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$7 @ 34.0¢
• Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 89.0¢
• Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Won
  No$90 @ 71.6¢
• Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 7.3¢
• Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Won
  No$161 @ 79.0¢
• Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Won
  No$252 @ 86.1¢
• Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 6.4¢
• Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Won
  No$42 @ 88.3¢
• Will Miles Caton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
• Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Won
  No$14 @ 71.5¢
• Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 14.8¢
• Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$23 @ 76.0¢
• Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 24.3¢
• Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 12.6¢
• Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$23 @ 66.7¢
• Will Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 10.4¢
• Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Won
  No$5 @ 60.8¢
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 61.0¢
• Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
  No$91 @ 86.6¢
• Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 3.5¢
• Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Won
  No$278 @ 81.6¢
• Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 8.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$248 @ 88.1¢
• Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 53.9¢
• Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 11.4¢
• Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  No$25 @ 21.7¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 49.1¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$311 @ 87.9¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$284 @ 80.8¢
• Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  No$193 @ 74.9¢
• Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$185 @ 42.2¢
• Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  No$174 @ 94.6¢
• Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  No$98 @ 80.4¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 12.4¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$59 @ 15.6¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$54 @ 34.0¢
• Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 22.1¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$16 @ 93.6¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 91.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 98.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 80.8¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$9 @ 82.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 15.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$4 @ 42.7¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$4 @ 96.9¢
• Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$3 @ 27.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$2 @ 19.0¢
• Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$2 @ 91.5¢
• Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
  No$2 @ 88.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$2 @ 77.2¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 36.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$1 @ 49.6¢