← Smart money
0xff4e…6731
SharpEdge
+15.1pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
100% @ 84.9¢
Brier
0.026
Resolved
83
Avg size
$11
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% (8/8) | +18% | 8 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +31% | 2 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (8/8)
- ROI
- +18%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +31%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
100% hit · 11/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 1–7? | No | $25 | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? | No | $18 | 88.5¢ | Won |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July? | No | $11 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $106K September 1–7? | No | $26 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Solana reach 220 September 1–7? | No | $7 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | $51 | 89.7¢ | Won |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 3? | Yes | $49 | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | $83 | 69.9¢ | Won |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in July? | No | $62 | 81.9¢ | Won |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | No | $35 | 87.5¢ | Won |
| Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $512 | 86.6¢ | Won |
- No$25 @ 84.0¢
- No$18 @ 88.5¢
- No$11 @ 87.0¢
- No$26 @ 86.0¢
- No$7 @ 87.0¢
- No$51 @ 89.7¢
- Yes$49 @ 85.0¢
- No$83 @ 69.9¢
- No$62 @ 81.9¢
- No$35 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$512 @ 86.6¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rippling IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $728 | 90.0¢ |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $518 | 79.5¢ |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $278 | 88.0¢ |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $160 | 86.2¢ |
| Remote IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $154 | 89.8¢ |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $23 | 93.0¢ |
- Rippling IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$728 @ 90.0¢
- Discord IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$518 @ 79.5¢
- Epic Games IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$278 @ 88.0¢
- Stripe IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$160 @ 86.2¢
- Remote IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$154 @ 89.8¢
- Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$23 @ 93.0¢