0xfe1a…6bcc

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other352 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (165/352)

  ROI

  +5%

• Economy42 bets

  Hit rate

  26% (11/42)

  ROI

  +39%

• Culture31 bets

  Hit rate

  39% (12/31)

  ROI

  +7%

• Geopolitics15 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (3/15)

  ROI

  -5%

• Politics11 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (6/11)

  ROI

  +80%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  +43%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +22%

• Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?Won
  Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 9.3¢
• Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Won
  Yes$58 @ 37.0¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Lost
  Yes$72 @ 6.7¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Won
  No$308 @ 64.7¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 18.1¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Won
  No$473 @ 57.5¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.3% in September?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Won
  No$86 @ 86.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Won
  Yes$163 @ 20.7¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
• Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be at least 2.8%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
• Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Won
  Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
• Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 31.0¢
• Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 9.1¢
• Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
• Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?Won
  No$1.2k @ 58.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 1.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Lost
  Yes$74 @ 8.1¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 34.5¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Won
  No$43 @ 85.0¢
• Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
  Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?Won
  Yes$146 @ 17.3¢
• Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?Won
  No$27 @ 79.0¢
• Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 25.8¢
• Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
  No$152 @ 71.0¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Lost
  Yes$119 @ 8.4¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
  No$22 @ 44.0¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
  Yes$64 @ 72.7¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 6.6¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?Lost
  No$31 @ 66.3¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?Won
  Yes$82 @ 63.1¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$109 @ 77.4¢
• Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Lost
  No$25 @ 36.8¢
• Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Won
  Yes$47 @ 53.0¢
• Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$61 @ 32.5¢
• Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Lost
  No$31 @ 38.8¢
• Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
  No$81 @ 76.0¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Won
  Yes$69 @ 64.4¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?Won
  No$35 @ 87.0¢
• Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Won
  Yes$485 @ 30.9¢
• Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?Won
  Yes$20 @ 83.0¢
• Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
• Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Lost
  No$217 @ 79.8¢

Current positions

• Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  No$656 @ 94.8¢
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$635 @ 61.1¢
• No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$301 @ 28.9¢
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$143 @ 89.2¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$140 @ 97.2¢
• Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Politics
  No$135 @ 90.0¢
• No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$124 @ 54.0¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?Economy
  No$106 @ 88.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$100 @ 83.0¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$74 @ 32.0¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Economy
  No$62 @ 77.5¢
• Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Politics
  No$55 @ 79.0¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
  Yes$53 @ 48.6¢
• Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Economy
  No$52 @ 86.9¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$43 @ 19.8¢
• Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Culture
  Yes$39 @ 39.4¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
  Yes$4 @ 28.6¢