0xfd4b…d965

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfd4b442f5b5891a336dc8900597d99349598d965
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

62% @ 55.0¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

652

Avg size

$51

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (173/322)	+2%	322
Sports	61% (57/93)	+23%	93
Politics	57% (8/14)	+8%	14
Geopolitics	100% (6/6)	+41%	6

Other322 bets
Hit rate
54% (173/322)
ROI
+2%
Sports93 bets
Hit rate
61% (57/93)
ROI
+23%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+41%

Track record

56% hit · 244/435

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	No	$80	50.0¢	Won
São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	53.0¢	Lost
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?	No	$18	52.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	No	$59	32.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs	Isurus	$37	53.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Nemiga	$114	65.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Luminosity	$82	51.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	$72	45.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	$124	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Sangal (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	Sangal	$78	49.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Voca vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - ROG Journey Group D	BASEMENT BOYS	$69	42.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	fnatic	$63	37.0¢	Won
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-08-23?	No	$3	68.0¢	Lost
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?	No	$8	64.0¢	Lost
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5	Over	$89	54.0¢	Won
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$39	63.0¢	Lost
Will FC Aktobe win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$145	72.0¢	Lost
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	46.0¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$82	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Paide Linnameeskond (-1.5)	FC Nomme United	$3	64.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	BBL	$91	55.0¢	Won
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres	Minnesota Twins	$2	43.0¢	Lost
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Boston Red Sox	$82	50.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	Metizport	$6	37.0¢	Won
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)	Hull City AFC	$33	70.0¢	Won
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	$91	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Penn State (-23.5)	Marshall	$80	49.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	FURIA	$59	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	$1	44.0¢	Lost
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$72	43.0¢	Lost
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$80	50.0¢	Lost
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	No	$77	47.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs	K27	$119	66.0¢	Won
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?	No	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	G2 Ares	$68	40.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	ILLYRIANS	$3	38.0¢	Won
Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	$61	34.0¢	Lost
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?	No	$63	35.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MIBR	$107	62.0¢	Won
CS Emelec vs. Libertad Loja: O/U 2.5	Under	$124	68.0¢	Lost
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5	Over	$15	31.0¢	Won
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 49.5	Over	$77	48.0¢	Won
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	$127	80.9¢	Won
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$82	50.0¢	Lost
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?	No	$131	69.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5	Under	$27	43.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	Just Players	$82	51.0¢	Won
One Knoxville SC vs. FC Naples: Both Teams to Score	No	$79	48.0¢	Won
SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to Advance	PAOK	$19	46.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	3DMAX	$97	58.0¢	Won

Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$80 @ 50.0¢
São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 53.0¢
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$18 @ 52.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Won
No$59 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 PlayoffsLost
Isurus$37 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsWon
Nemiga$114 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsWon
Luminosity$82 @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsWon
Astralis$72 @ 45.0¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group BWon
BBL$124 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Sangal (BO1) - ROG Journey Group BWon
Sangal$78 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: Voca vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - ROG Journey Group DLost
BASEMENT BOYS$69 @ 42.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsWon
fnatic$63 @ 37.0¢
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-08-23?Lost
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?Lost
No$8 @ 64.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Won
Over$89 @ 54.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$39 @ 63.0¢
Will FC Aktobe win on 2026-09-18?Lost
Yes$145 @ 72.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 46.0¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$82 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Paide Linnameeskond (-1.5)Lost
FC Nomme United$3 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
BBL$91 @ 55.0¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresLost
Minnesota Twins$2 @ 43.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersLost
Boston Red Sox$82 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group AWon
Metizport$6 @ 37.0¢
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Won
Hull City AFC$33 @ 70.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-06?Won
Yes$91 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Penn State (-23.5)Lost
Marshall$80 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsLost
FURIA$59 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Lost
Atlanta Braves$1 @ 44.0¢
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-20?Lost
Yes$72 @ 43.0¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$80 @ 50.0¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?Won
No$77 @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsWon
K27$119 @ 66.0¢
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?Lost
No$3 @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLost
G2 Ares$68 @ 40.0¢
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageWon
ILLYRIANS$3 @ 38.0¢
Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-09-18?Lost
No$61 @ 34.0¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$63 @ 35.0¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsWon
MIBR$107 @ 62.0¢
CS Emelec vs. Libertad Loja: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$124 @ 68.0¢
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Won
Over$15 @ 31.0¢
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 49.5Won
Over$77 @ 48.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Won
No$127 @ 80.9¢
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$82 @ 50.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$131 @ 69.0¢
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$27 @ 43.0¢
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageWon
Just Players$82 @ 51.0¢
One Knoxville SC vs. FC Naples: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$79 @ 48.0¢
SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceLost
PAOK$19 @ 46.0¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BWon
3DMAX$97 @ 58.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$87	54.0¢
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$80	50.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$59	32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs	Sports	Isurus	$37	53.0¢
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$24	52.0¢
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	No	$18	52.0¢
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	—	ZOTIX	$3	55.9¢
São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$1	53.0¢

Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$87 @ 54.0¢
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$80 @ 50.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$59 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 PlayoffsSports
Isurus$37 @ 53.0¢
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$24 @ 52.0¢
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?Sports
No$18 @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season—
ZOTIX$3 @ 55.9¢
São Bernardo FC vs. CR Brasil: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$1 @ 53.0¢