0xfae2…c12f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfae264c49df08f188c5fb9fddefb4585ca73c12f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

37% @ 28.5¢

Brier

0.039

Resolved

140

Avg size

$109

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (12/31)	+24%	31
Sports	43% (3/7)	+29%	7
Politics	75% (3/4)	+19%	4
Culture	100% (1/1)	+43%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+33%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
39% (12/31)
ROI
+24%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+29%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+19%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+33%

Track record

45% hit · 20/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$5.3k	84.3¢	Won
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Gay" this week?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will CSKA Moscow win Kontinental Hockey League?	No	$0	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Flag" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Will the Milwaukee Brewers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	$42	47.0¢	Lost
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$6	75.0¢	Won
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	$2.6k	70.7¢	Won
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "UFO" or "Alien" this week?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Zeus" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?	No	$15	62.1¢	Won
James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Polymarket" this week?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Edwin Uceta strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	No	$26	88.3¢	Won
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	$112	89.2¢	Won
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	$2	11.4¢	Lost
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$86	70.0¢	Won
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	$48	79.9¢	Lost
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?	No	$2.4k	82.8¢	Won
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$803	75.0¢	Won
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Prediction" this week?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	$0	0.1¢	Won
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	$585	85.7¢	Won
Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$265	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Transnational" or "Foreign Criminal Organization" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	$38	62.0¢	Won
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	$443	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?	Yes	$33	47.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Lost
Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	$1.4k	66.8¢	Won
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$137	1.5¢	Lost
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?	No	$30	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?	No	$37	77.3¢	Won
Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	$795	79.3¢	Won
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$46	1.5¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Won
Yes$5.3k @ 84.3¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Gay" this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will CSKA Moscow win Kontinental Hockey League?Won
No$0 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump say "Flag" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Lost
No$0 @ 6.0¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Lost
No$42 @ 47.0¢
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$6 @ 75.0¢
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 70.7¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "UFO" or "Alien" this week?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will "Zeus" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?Won
No$15 @ 62.1¢
James Comey arrested by May 15?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Polymarket" this week?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Edwin Uceta strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Won
No$26 @ 88.3¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?Won
No$112 @ 89.2¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?Lost
No$2 @ 11.4¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Won
Yes$86 @ 70.0¢
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Lost
No$48 @ 79.9¢
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?Won
No$2.4k @ 82.8¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$803 @ 75.0¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Prediction" this week?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Won
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Won
No$585 @ 85.7¢
Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Won
Yes$265 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump say "Transnational" or "Foreign Criminal Organization" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Won
No$38 @ 62.0¢
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?Won
No$443 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?Won
Yes$33 @ 47.6¢
Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
James Comey arrested by April 30?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Won
No$1.4k @ 66.8¢
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$137 @ 1.5¢
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?Won
No$30 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Jensen" or "Tim" during Bret Baier interview?Won
No$37 @ 77.3¢
Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
No$795 @ 79.3¢
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$46 @ 1.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Crypto	Yes	$330	97.5¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Crypto	Yes	$304	79.4¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Crypto	Yes	$233	78.0¢
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$46	1.8¢
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$45	1.8¢
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$45	1.8¢
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$40	1.8¢
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$36	1.8¢
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$35	1.8¢
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$26	1.8¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$17	1.8¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$13	67.0¢

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?Crypto
Yes$330 @ 97.5¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?Crypto
Yes$304 @ 79.4¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?Crypto
Yes$233 @ 78.0¢
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$45 @ 1.8¢
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$45 @ 1.8¢
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$40 @ 1.8¢
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$36 @ 1.8¢
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$35 @ 1.8¢
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$26 @ 1.8¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$17 @ 1.8¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$13 @ 67.0¢