← Smart money
0xf99d…f867
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
51% @ 46.3¢
Brier
0.178
Resolved
2830
Avg size
$9
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (638/1142) | +9% | 1142 |
| Sports | 33% (30/92) | +21% | 92 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | -47% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +28% | 2 |
- Other1142 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (638/1142)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports92 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (30/92)
- ROI
- +21%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- -47%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
54% hit · 672/1244- Yes$14 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
- No$73 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 20.9¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 77.5¢
- No$6 @ 61.0¢
- No$17 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 67.0¢
- Over$2 @ 32.0¢
- No$14 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
- Under$4 @ 77.0¢
- Bucks$20 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 13.0¢
- No$4 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 65.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
- No$8 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 58.0¢
- Natus Vincere$9 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
- FRK$1 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 76.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 43.7¢
- No$8 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 23.0¢
- PSG$24 @ 79.7¢
- Yes$34 @ 31.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 23.0¢
- No$8 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
- No$7 @ 67.0¢
- No$40 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 67.0¢
- Under$17 @ 85.0¢
- No$4 @ 42.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $26 | 51.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $17 | 85.5¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 76.3¢ |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Culture | No | $8 | 75.5¢ |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Culture | No | $7 | 69.0¢ |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Tech | No | $6 | 64.0¢ |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | — | No | $6 | 60.0¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Politics | No | $6 | 94.0¢ |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? | Politics | No | $5 | 92.0¢ |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | Culture | Yes | $5 | 45.0¢ |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | Culture | Yes | $2 | 18.5¢ |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ |
- Yes$26 @ 51.0¢
- No$17 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 76.3¢
- No$8 @ 75.5¢
- No$7 @ 69.0¢
- No$6 @ 64.0¢
- No$6 @ 60.0¢
- No$6 @ 94.0¢
- No$5 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢