0xf664…c89b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf664697532c1a71f3cdf70b2048d0d5a60c5c89b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.1pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

60% @ 44.2¢

Brier

0.185

Resolved

204

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (20/34)	+47%	34
Sports	63% (5/8)	+33%	8
Politics	33% (1/3)	+34%	3
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+424%	1

Other34 bets
Hit rate
59% (20/34)
ROI
+47%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+33%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+34%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+424%

Track record

59% hit · 27/46

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	18.0¢	Lost
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$4	32.8¢	Lost
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$17	65.3¢	Won
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	$94	68.2¢	Won
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$26	79.2¢	Won
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$1	6.0¢	Won
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	$3	20.6¢	Lost
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar	No	$5	73.0¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$55	35.2¢	Won
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$6	44.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$4	19.1¢	Won
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$12	86.0¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Over	$24	65.0¢	Won
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5	Under	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$36	86.6¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	$7	18.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	$8	87.2¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$37	63.3¢	Lost
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$2	38.3¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	No	$55	78.3¢	Won
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Jodar	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Portsmouth FC	$1	31.0¢	Won
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$50	78.1¢	Won
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	$118	56.7¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$31	57.7¢	Won
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	12.7¢	Lost
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$5	89.1¢	Won
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$6	24.0¢	Lost
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$10	53.3¢	Won
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$9	71.4¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$8	7.3¢	Lost
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	$8	65.0¢	Won
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?	Yes	$4	14.4¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$48	28.9¢	Won
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$30	81.1¢	Won
Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	80.1¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$28	1.1¢	Lost
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$9	95.0¢	Won
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1	57.6¢	Won
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$8	36.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
No$4 @ 32.8¢
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$17 @ 65.3¢
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Won
No$94 @ 68.2¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$26 @ 79.2¢
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudLost
Jenson Brooksby$3 @ 20.6¢
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Jaume MunarWon
No$5 @ 73.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$55 @ 35.2¢
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$6 @ 44.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 19.1¢
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Won
No$12 @ 86.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Won
Over$24 @ 65.0¢
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5Lost
Under$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Lost
Yes$36 @ 86.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$7 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
Yes$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Won
Yes$8 @ 87.2¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
No$37 @ 63.3¢
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
Yes$2 @ 38.3¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Won
No$55 @ 78.3¢
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)Lost
Jodar$7 @ 1.7¢
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Won
Portsmouth FC$1 @ 31.0¢
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$50 @ 78.1¢
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Won
No$118 @ 56.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$31 @ 57.7¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 12.7¢
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Won
No$5 @ 89.1¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$10 @ 53.3¢
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
Yes$9 @ 71.4¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.3¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
No$2 @ 16.0¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Won
Over$8 @ 65.0¢
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?Won
Yes$4 @ 14.4¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$48 @ 28.9¢
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$30 @ 81.1¢
Will the match end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 80.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$28 @ 1.1¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$9 @ 95.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$1 @ 57.6¢
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
No$8 @ 36.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$30	88.0¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$16	62.2¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	—	Yes	$9	12.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	No	$8	95.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	—	No	$8	71.0¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	No	$5	50.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	39.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$30 @ 88.0¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$16 @ 62.2¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?—
Yes$9 @ 12.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
No$8 @ 95.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?—
No$8 @ 71.0¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
No$5 @ 50.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 39.0¢