0xe86b…9371

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe86bd513ee0e7079ca0bd51b2cbe07d16e8f9371
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.5pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

79% @ 71.3¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

534

Avg size

$85

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	76% (114/150)	+2%	150
Politics	71% (22/31)	+5%	31
Tech	100% (7/7)	+25%	7
Geopolitics	80% (4/5)	+20%	5
Crypto	100% (3/3)	+18%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	-6%	2
Science	100% (1/1)	+33%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+26%	1
Business	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other150 bets
Hit rate
76% (114/150)
ROI
+2%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
71% (22/31)
ROI
+5%
Tech7 bets
Hit rate
100% (7/7)
ROI
+25%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+20%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-6%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+33%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

77% hit · 154/201

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	$112	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	$189	98.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	No	$84	85.1¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$58	77.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$102	88.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$300	85.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$180	61.0¢	Won
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$129	64.5¢	Won
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$175	87.0¢	Won
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$231	66.0¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$40	20.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$249	83.0¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$134	67.0¢	Won
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	$58	75.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$340	84.5¢	Won
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	$155	89.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?	Yes	$109	73.7¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$224	89.4¢	Won
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	$161	87.0¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	$200	89.9¢	Won
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?	No	$815	31.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	$171	67.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$500	88.0¢	Won
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$29	57.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?	No	$16	61.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$375	75.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	$318	89.1¢	Won
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?	No	$15	73.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$87	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	$170	84.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$43	70.0¢	Lost
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	$93	74.6¢	Won
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	$527	79.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?	No	$107	89.0¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$227	87.0¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$450	86.3¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	No	$153	88.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$99	81.6¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$215	86.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$318	79.3¢	Won
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	$133	72.0¢	Lost
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$100	85.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$912	80.5¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$310	83.1¢	Lost
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$146	73.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	No	$130	86.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	$66	88.0¢	Won

Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Lost
No$112 @ 56.0¢
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Won
Yes$189 @ 98.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Won
No$84 @ 85.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$58 @ 77.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
No$102 @ 88.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$300 @ 85.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$180 @ 61.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
Yes$129 @ 64.5¢
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
No$175 @ 87.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
Yes$231 @ 66.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$134 @ 67.0¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Won
No$58 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$340 @ 84.5¢
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Won
No$155 @ 89.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 9?Won
Yes$109 @ 73.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$224 @ 89.4¢
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonWon
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$161 @ 87.0¢
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
No$200 @ 89.9¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?Won
No$815 @ 31.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Lost
Yes$171 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$500 @ 88.0¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$29 @ 57.8¢
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?Lost
No$16 @ 61.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$375 @ 75.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Won
No$318 @ 89.1¢
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?Won
No$15 @ 73.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
No$87 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Won
No$170 @ 84.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$43 @ 70.0¢
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$93 @ 74.6¢
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Lost
No$527 @ 79.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?Won
No$107 @ 89.0¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$227 @ 87.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$450 @ 86.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Won
No$153 @ 88.5¢
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
No$99 @ 81.6¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$215 @ 86.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$318 @ 79.3¢
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
No$133 @ 72.0¢
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 85.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$912 @ 80.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$310 @ 83.1¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Won
No$130 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?Won
No$66 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	75.4¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1.0k	54.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$751	75.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	Yes	$588	78.2¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$471	77.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$423	83.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?	Culture	No	$383	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$382	76.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$279	85.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$183	61.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	No	$182	90.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$171	67.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$134	53.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$79	67.0¢

Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 75.4¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$1.0k @ 54.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$751 @ 75.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
Yes$588 @ 78.2¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$471 @ 77.3¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$423 @ 83.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?Culture
No$383 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$382 @ 76.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$279 @ 85.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$183 @ 61.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
No$182 @ 90.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$171 @ 67.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$134 @ 53.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$79 @ 67.0¢