0xe7f9…6f0f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe7f90d4935e12781d4e48f90ad4a8c9f0a7f6f0f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+614%

Win rate

13% @ 3.5¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

1165

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	20% (39/196)	+979%	196
Sports	7% (4/57)	+129%	57
Politics	21% (4/19)	+62%	19
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other196 bets
Hit rate
20% (39/196)
ROI
+979%
Sports57 bets
Hit rate
7% (4/57)
ROI
+129%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
21% (4/19)
ROI
+62%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

17% hit · 47/273

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?	No	$6	1.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	No	$1	0.2¢	Won
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Lost
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
X banned in Brazil by Friday?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?	No	$13	2.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Alien" 3 or more times in border speech?	No	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	No	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	2.4¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	Yes	$14	2.3¢	Lost
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?	No	$3	6.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 21?	No	$1	0.2¢	Won
Will Slovenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?	No	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	$32	14.5¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	5.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?	No	$10	1.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?	Yes	$2	7.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	No	$1	0.2¢	Won
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?	No	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?	No	$10	13.6¢	Won
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	Yes	$17	4.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	$6	3.4¢	Lost
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	$6	5.5¢	Lost
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	No	$3	0.3¢	Won
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?	No	$16	0.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Won
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$16	12.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?	No	$5	1.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?	No	$2	2.8¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?	No	$5	3.9¢	Lost
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$33	24.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?	Yes	$25	29.9¢	Won
Pavel Durov released in August?	Yes	$6	47.0¢	Won

Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?Won
No$6 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?Won
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
X banned in Brazil by Friday?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Lost
No$13 @ 2.7¢
Will Donald Trump say "Alien" 3 or more times in border speech?Lost
No$1 @ 0.7¢
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Lost
No$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.3¢
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?Lost
No$3 @ 6.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 21?Won
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Slovenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Lost
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?Lost
No$1 @ 2.9¢
Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Lost
Yes$32 @ 14.5¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?Lost
No$10 @ 1.6¢
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?Won
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?Lost
No$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Won
No$10 @ 13.6¢
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Lost
Yes$17 @ 4.2¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Won
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.4¢
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?Won
No$3 @ 0.3¢
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Lost
No$16 @ 0.6¢
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 12.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?Won
No$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Lost
No$2 @ 2.8¢
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?Lost
No$5 @ 3.9¢
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$33 @ 24.4¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Won
Yes$25 @ 29.9¢
Pavel Durov released in August?Won
Yes$6 @ 47.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	12.7¢
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.75T in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$1	1.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will Slovenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.2¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 12.7¢
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.75T in 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the UEFA EURO 2028?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Slovenia win the UEFA EURO 2028?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢