← Smart money
0xe367…2104
ProfitableEdge
+52.3pp
ROI
+50%
Win rate
96% @ 43.7¢
Brier
0.328
Resolved
150
Avg size
$265
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | +107% | 3 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | +19% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +110% | 1 |
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +107%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +110%
Track record
50% hit · 3/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ewan Cameron finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | $116 | 47.6¢ | Won |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | No | $13.1k | 43.0¢ | Won |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | No | $2.1k | 70.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | No | $12.5k | 48.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | $11.9k | 41.0¢ | Won |
| World Grand Prix: Danny Noppert vs Niko Springer | Niko Springer | $28 | 40.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$116 @ 47.6¢
- No$13.1k @ 43.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 70.0¢
- No$12.5k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$11.9k @ 41.0¢
- Niko Springer$28 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Sports | Yes | $10.2k | 72.5¢ |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $2.1k | 48.0¢ |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | Sports | No | $73 | 40.0¢ |
- Yes$10.2k @ 72.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 48.0¢
- No$73 @ 40.0¢