0xe342…b692

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe3427341180c8bfe947f742db2a37c93c35fb692
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+19.5pp

ROI

+77%

Win rate

62% @ 42.7¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

Avg size

$188

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (13/28)	+83%	28
Sports	60% (3/5)	-3%	5
Politics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other28 bets
Hit rate
46% (13/28)
ROI
+83%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-3%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 18/36

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$49	19.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$52	52.2¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$61	60.0¢	Lost
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$67	66.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$39	37.8¢	Lost
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	No	$91	44.6¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$380	54.3¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$56	55.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	$1.0k	42.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	$2.0k	26.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$4.1k	86.5¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$15	75.0¢	Won
Spread: England (-1.5)	Mexico	$167	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	20.1¢	Won
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$385	77.0¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$10	9.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$280	28.0¢	Won
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky	Seattle Storm	$252	43.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$56	55.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$273	37.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$168	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Under	$60	59.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Won
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	$117	58.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	50.0¢	Won
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost

Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$49 @ 19.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 52.2¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$61 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$67 @ 66.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$39 @ 37.8¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Won
No$91 @ 44.6¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Lost
Yes$380 @ 54.3¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$56 @ 55.0¢
Heat vs. HawksWon
Heat$1.0k @ 42.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderWon
Spurs$2.0k @ 26.0¢
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 86.5¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Won
Mexico$167 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$52 @ 20.1¢
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Won
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Lakers vs. RocketsWon
Lakers$280 @ 28.0¢
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago SkyLost
Seattle Storm$252 @ 43.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$56 @ 55.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Won
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$273 @ 37.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Won
Under$60 @ 59.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Won
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Won
Over$117 @ 58.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Won
Under$51 @ 50.0¢
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Politics	No	$49	98.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$17	83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	77.0¢

Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
No$49 @ 98.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 77.0¢