0xe196…b2b8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe196c85512f6999f24fdbcc8e13d8f67c38cb2b8
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

-1.9pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

4% @ 5.4¢

Brier

0.034

Resolved

1103

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Crypto	1% (1/67)	+240%	67
Other	15% (10/66)	-23%	66
Science	0% (0/25)	-100%	25
Culture	0% (0/15)	-100%	15
Sports	0% (0/14)	-100%	14
Tech	8% (1/12)	-78%	12
Politics	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Crypto67 bets
Hit rate
1% (1/67)
ROI
+240%
Other66 bets
Hit rate
15% (10/66)
ROI
-23%
Science25 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/25)
ROI
-100%
Culture15 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/15)
ROI
-100%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/14)
ROI
-100%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/12)
ROI
-78%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

6% hit · 12/212

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	Yes	$2	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 6?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 10?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?	No	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?	Yes	$8	4.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on June 5?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?	Yes	$1	6.2¢	Lost
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 3?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?	No	$3	3.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 10?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	$9	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 17?	Yes	$7	34.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?	Yes	$4	3.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 4?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$4	71.0¢	Won
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?	No	$1	6.8¢	Lost
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	$6	0.4¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?	No	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	$2	5.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 7?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 17?	Yes	$5	24.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 4?	Yes	$4	0.9¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 8?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 3?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 17?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	$6	22.3¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?Lost
No$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on June 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?Lost
No$3 @ 3.6¢
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 10?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Lost
Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$7 @ 34.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
No$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 1.3¢
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?Lost
No$1 @ 6.8¢
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Lost
No$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 4?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$6 @ 22.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?	—	Yes	$15	71.0¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$11	0.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Science	No	$10	82.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$8	87.0¢
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?	Tech	Yes	$5	2.4¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	—	Yes	$5	24.7¢
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$5	96.9¢
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?	Tech	Anthropic + OpenAI	$5	97.5¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Politics	No	$5	96.6¢
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?	—	No	$5	96.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	—	No	$4	84.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	7.6¢
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	10.1¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$4	78.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$4	0.9¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$4	1.4¢
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?	Tech	Yes	$3	0.7¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$3	81.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	22.0¢
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	—	Yes	$3	1.8¢
Will the median home value in Chicago be greater than $354,000 on June 30?	—	Yes	$3	15.3¢
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Sports	Yes	$3	0.4¢
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	Crypto	Yes	$3	7.4¢
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?	—	Yes	$3	11.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$3	66.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$3	27.0¢
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	Economy	No	$3	93.0¢
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	No	$2	12.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$2	72.0¢
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	—	Yes	$2	2.0¢

Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?—
Yes$15 @ 71.0¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$11 @ 0.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Science
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
No$8 @ 87.0¢
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?Tech
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?—
Yes$5 @ 24.7¢
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 96.9¢
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Tech
Anthropic + OpenAI$5 @ 97.5¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics
No$5 @ 96.6¢
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?—
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?—
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 7.6¢
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 10.1¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?Tech
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$3 @ 81.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?—
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
Will the median home value in Chicago be greater than $354,000 on June 30?—
Yes$3 @ 15.3¢
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?Sports
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 7.4¢
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?—
Yes$3 @ 11.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?Economy
No$3 @ 93.0¢
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
No$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics
Yes$2 @ 72.0¢
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?—
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢