← Smart money
0xe119…e30f
SharpEdge
+17.2pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
97% @ 79.8¢
Brier
0.035
Resolved
232
Avg size
$1.4k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (6/8) | +20% | 8 |
| Politics | 100% (4/4) | +23% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +23%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
77% hit · 10/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | $7.2k | 72.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? | Yes | $134 | 2.5¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | No | $4.7k | 83.5¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10? | Yes | $110 | 1.1¢ | Lost |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | $8.7k | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $77.8k | 78.3¢ | Won |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | $480 | 11.0¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | $41.0k | 85.5¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | $24.4k | 77.8¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $114.8k | 85.5¢ | Won |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? | No | $10.8k | 89.3¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | No | $41.0k | 83.0¢ | Won |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $15.0k | 90.0¢ | Won |
- No$7.2k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$134 @ 2.5¢
- No$4.7k @ 83.5¢
- Yes$110 @ 1.1¢
- No$8.7k @ 87.0¢
- No$77.8k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$480 @ 11.0¢
- No$41.0k @ 85.5¢
- No$24.4k @ 77.8¢
- No$114.8k @ 85.5¢
- No$10.8k @ 89.3¢
- No$41.0k @ 83.0¢
- No$15.0k @ 90.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | No | $8.8k | 90.0¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | — | No | $409 | 95.5¢ |
- No$8.8k @ 90.0¢
- No$409 @ 95.5¢