← Smart money
0xdf01…6e6e
SharpEdge
+6.2pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
47% @ 40.6¢
Brier
0.184
Resolved
566
Avg size
$13
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 47% (109/230) | +43% | 230 |
| Other | 30% (14/47) | -10% | 47 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Science230 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (109/230)
- ROI
- +43%
- Other47 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (14/47)
- ROI
- -10%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
44% hit · 123/278- Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$48 @ 31.4¢
- Yes$63 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- No$46 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 48.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 41.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.8¢
- No$44 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 37.0¢
- No$7 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$37 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.8¢
- No$55 @ 67.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- No$1 @ 49.0¢
- No$83 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 27.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$77 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$15 @ 16.0¢
- No$7 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 67.3¢
- Yes$41 @ 63.8¢
- No$90 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 47.8¢
- No$42 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$38 @ 50.0¢
- No$108 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 60.7¢
- No$85 @ 55.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 49.6¢
- No$76 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Science | Yes | $50 | 38.9¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26? | Science | Yes | $10 | 3.3¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on October 26? | Science | Yes | $7 | 5.7¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26? | Science | Yes | $6 | 25.4¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26? | Science | Yes | $2 | 0.7¢ |
- Yes$50 @ 38.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢