← Smart money
0xd7f3…135a
SharpEdge
+11.0pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
64% @ 53.5¢
Brier
0.209
Resolved
169
Avg size
$16
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (33/60) | +34% | 60 |
| Sports | 76% (31/41) | +12% | 41 |
- Other60 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (33/60)
- ROI
- +34%
- Sports41 bets
- Hit rate
- 76% (31/41)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
63% hit · 64/101- Tampa Bay Rays$120 @ 94.8¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$100 @ 88.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$80 @ 89.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$10 @ 50.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$12 @ 40.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$13 @ 57.5¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$14 @ 46.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$8 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$16 @ 54.0¢
- Washington Nationals$13 @ 44.0¢
- New York Yankees$10 @ 50.0¢
- New York Yankees$14 @ 48.0¢
- Cleveland Guardians$40 @ 87.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$14 @ 45.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$4 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$90 @ 88.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$1 @ 89.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$17 @ 56.0¢
- Los Angeles Angels$50 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$11 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 12.9¢
- Detroit Tigers$1 @ 11.0¢
- Cowboys$80 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$80 @ 88.0¢
- Under$50 @ 87.0¢
- Washington Nationals$60 @ 79.9¢
- Vikings$80 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 8.1¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$8 @ 42.0¢
- Milwaukee Brewers$80 @ 89.0¢
- Penguins$2 @ 54.0¢
- Miami Marlins$22 @ 46.0¢
- Bruins vs. JetsLostJets$130 @ 87.8¢
- Thunder$5 @ 59.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$14 @ 48.0¢
- Jets$81 @ 87.0¢
- Miami Marlins$40 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.6¢
- Baltimore Orioles$7 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 39.0¢
- Ducks$80 @ 86.0¢
- Washington Nationals$11 @ 10.0¢
- 49ers$50 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | Sports | U 11.5 | $400 | 87.0¢ |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Sports | Tampa Bay Rays | $120 | 94.8¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 88.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 61.0¢ |
- U 11.5$400 @ 87.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$120 @ 94.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 61.0¢