0xd663…ca64

Specialization by sphere

• Other182 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (96/182)

  ROI

  +27%

• Politics40 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (18/40)

  ROI

  +39%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (3/12)

  ROI

  -84%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Lost
  No$12 @ 7.0¢
• Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?Lost
  No$19 @ 28.9¢
• Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 52.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$103 @ 86.6¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$86 @ 5.3¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
  Yes$67 @ 57.7¢
• Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 10.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$38 @ 74.3¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 60.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 19.0¢
• Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
• Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$10 @ 67.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
• Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 82.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
  No$14 @ 66.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 34.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$128 @ 54.9¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
• Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Lost
  No$33 @ 8.5¢
• JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$18 @ 84.6¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 25.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$105 @ 45.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Won
  No$54 @ 89.3¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 74.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 1.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$72 @ 59.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 31.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 49.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 24.2¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$54 @ 19.2¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
  Yes$43 @ 78.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$9 @ 21.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Won
  Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
  No$21 @ 65.5¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$10 @ 73.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 32.2¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 85.5¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  Yes$6 @ 68.4¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$11 @ 80.3¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
  Yes$83 @ 13.3¢
• United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
  Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 5.2¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$9 @ 85.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 21.1¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$752 @ 86.6¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$301 @ 27.0¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$130 @ 67.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
  No$71 @ 27.1¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$56 @ 49.2¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$51 @ 86.4¢
• Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics
  Yes$30 @ 35.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
  No$21 @ 17.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Politics
  No$16 @ 6.5¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$11 @ 26.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 39.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
  No$10 @ 25.0¢
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
  No$10 @ 67.0¢
• Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$10 @ 99.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Business
  Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 49.0¢