← Smart money
0xd13c…02f4
SharpEdge
+14.7pp
ROI
+43%
Win rate
66% @ 50.9¢
Brier
0.177
Resolved
131
Avg size
$50
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 66% (48/73) | +46% | 73 |
| Sports | 25% (1/4) | +3% | 4 |
| Business | 67% (2/3) | +17% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other73 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (48/73)
- ROI
- +46%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- +3%
- Business3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
62% hit · 51/82- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?WonYes$205 @ 52.6¢
- Yes$59 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$252 @ 11.2¢
- No$34 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
- No$387 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 11.0¢
- No$9 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 66.0¢
- No$2 @ 48.0¢
- No$66 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$308 @ 89.8¢
- No$48 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
- No$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$216 @ 72.0¢
- No$175 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 79.3¢
- No$5 @ 9.0¢
- No$517 @ 87.7¢
- Yes$125 @ 88.6¢
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
- No$150 @ 87.6¢
- No$233 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 85.0¢
- No$33 @ 58.8¢
- No$37 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
- No$18 @ 74.7¢
- No$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 10.6¢
- No$169 @ 62.3¢
- Yes$31 @ 55.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 88.0¢
- No$6 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 83.8¢
- No$358 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$287 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
- No$32 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$79 @ 78.6¢
- No$24 @ 55.6¢
- No$104 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5.1k | 50.0¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | No | $5.1k | 50.0¢ |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $150 | 75.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | Crypto | $1,000 | $111 | 36.9¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $43 | 85.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $35 | 55.0¢ |
- Yes$5.1k @ 50.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 50.0¢
- No$150 @ 75.0¢
- $1,000$111 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$43 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 55.0¢