← Smart money
0xcfbb…9e7c
SharpEdge
+6.6pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
27% @ 20.5¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
680
Avg size
$15
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 27% (31/114) | +29% | 114 |
| Politics | 65% (17/26) | -17% | 26 |
| Sports | 18% (3/17) | -24% | 17 |
| Tech | 57% (4/7) | +40% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -45% | 4 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +191% | 3 |
- Other114 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (31/114)
- ROI
- +29%
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (17/26)
- ROI
- -17%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (3/17)
- ROI
- -24%
- Tech7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +40%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -45%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +191%
Track record
34% hit · 58/171- Yes$124 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.9¢
- No$16 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
- No$104 @ 86.8¢
- No$2 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$51 @ 4.1¢
- No$2 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$75 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$104 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$115 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- No$26 @ 13.0¢
- No$285 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$76 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 22.0¢
- No$35 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$352 @ 13.7¢
- No$13 @ 86.0¢
- No$207 @ 69.0¢
- No$25 @ 27.8¢
- No$57 @ 27.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$28 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$101 @ 13.0¢
- No$272 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- No$18 @ 9.0¢
- No$42 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$168 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$48 @ 15.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $195 | 27.9¢ |
- Yes$195 @ 27.9¢